undamentalytics Newsletter

Evergreen IV L.P. and related entities: insider trades

10% owner at Varonis Systems Inc. No open-market purchases and 24 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from February 24, 2015 to April 4, 2017. Trades reported separately by several related funds or companies are counted once, under this name.

What happened after Evergreen IV L.P. and related entities’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +30.4% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 13% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Evergreen IV L.P. and related entities: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 24 +9.4% +13.4% 21% 3 — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the report 24 +30.4% +34.8% 13% 3 — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the trade 24 +29.9% +35.1% 13% 3 — — Not enough years

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Varonis Systems Inc VRNS —024February 24, 2015April 4, 2017

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
April 4, 2017March 31, 2017 VRNS Sale $2,528,750 +17.0%+82.3%+81.6%
March 29, 2017March 27, 2017 VRNS Sale $502,603 +14.5%+81.3%+79.2%
November 28, 2016November 23, 2016 VRNS Sale $621,500 −15.0%+45.5%+46.9%
November 16, 2016November 14, 2016 VRNS Sale $1,555,684 −17.1%+39.1%+35.8%
August 18, 2016August 16, 2016 VRNS Sale $292,460 +7.6%+20.8%+24.6%
August 16, 2016August 12, 2016 VRNS Sale $344,392 +12.3%+23.9%+17.4%
May 9, 2016May 5, 2016 VRNS Sale $430,000 +14.6%+45.0%+48.1%
April 13, 2016April 11, 2016 VRNS Sale $179,600 +28.7%+46.0%+57.3%
April 1, 2016March 29, 2016 VRNS Sale $807,577 +32.3%+53.9%+50.1%
March 21, 2016March 17, 2016 VRNS Sale $634,200 +34.1%+34.5%+44.9%
March 16, 2016March 14, 2016 VRNS Sale $356,800 +41.3%+44.9%+34.2%
March 10, 2016March 8, 2016 VRNS Sale $125,619 +34.4%+34.1%+23.8%
March 4, 2016March 2, 2016 VRNS Sale $289,050 +28.7%+21.8%+22.0%
February 26, 2016February 24, 2016 VRNS Sale $583,741 +21.1%+24.0%+27.9%
February 23, 2016February 19, 2016 VRNS Sale $786,583 +23.3%+27.9%+36.9%
February 19, 2016February 17, 2016 VRNS Sale $118,109 +23.9%+35.1%+38.0%
February 1, 2016January 28, 2016 VRNS Sale $42,601 +1.3%+46.0%+50.5%
January 26, 2016January 22, 2016 VRNS Sale $90,000 +4.1%+50.3%+39.9%
January 7, 2016January 5, 2016 VRNS Sale $455,450 +2.0%+44.2%+34.4%
June 2, 2015May 29, 2015 VRNS Sale $200,300 +2.8%+21.7%+17.2%
May 29, 2015May 27, 2015 VRNS Sale $582,740 +6.5%+22.1%+16.3%
March 17, 2015March 11, 2015 VRNS Sale $179,737 −24.5%−38.9%−39.7%
March 11, 2015February 27, 2015 VRNS Sale $832,790 −31.6%−40.2%−34.2%
February 24, 2015February 20, 2015 VRNS Sale $755,500 −36.5%−35.7%−34.8%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Evergreen IV L.P. and related entities traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.