undamentalytics Newsletter

Whitman Robert A: insider trades

Chief executive at Franklin Covey Co. No open-market purchases and 39 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from April 15, 2010 to January 24, 2012.

What happened after Whitman Robert A’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +14.5% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 28% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Whitman Robert A: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 39 +4.9% +3.2% 39% 3 — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the report 39 +14.5% +10.0% 28% 3 — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the trade 39 +14.7% +9.9% 23% 3 — — Not enough years

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Franklin Covey Co FC Chief Executive Officer039April 15, 2010January 24, 2012

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
January 24, 2012January 20, 2012 FC Sale $30,993 −6.9%+26.4%+36.0%
January 20, 2012January 18, 2012 FC Sale $211,286 +1.1%+35.3%+40.9%
January 18, 2012January 13, 2012 FC Sale $63,995 +3.2%+39.2%+38.5%
January 13, 2012January 11, 2012 FC Sale $359,395 +0.9%+39.0%+37.7%
January 10, 2012January 9, 2012 FC Sale $47,128 −0.6%+37.7%+40.8%
July 12, 2011July 11, 2011 FC Sale $446,000 −15.7%−16.6%−15.1%
May 31, 2011May 25, 2011 FC Sale $284,200 +20.5%+5.9%+10.1%
May 10, 2011May 9, 2011 FC Sale $81,608 +31.0%+9.5%+13.6%
May 6, 2011May 4, 2011 FC Sale $43,998 +41.1%+13.6%+4.3%
April 6, 2011April 5, 2011 FC Sale $50,814 +20.3%−12.4%−12.0%
April 4, 2011April 1, 2011 FC Sale $75,225 +13.5%−12.0%−4.6%
March 14, 2011March 11, 2011 FC Sale $84,448 +8.7%+14.4%+3.9%
March 2, 2011March 2, 2011 FC Sale $64,160 +7.6%−5.5%+2.2%
February 8, 2011February 7, 2011 FC Sale $102,577 +2.5%+16.6%+23.1%
February 3, 2011February 3, 2011 FC Sale $23,838 +3.9%+21.0%+16.3%
January 12, 2011January 5, 2011 FC Sale $125,316 +0.9%−5.1%−1.0%
December 20, 2010December 17, 2010 FC Sale $126,108 −20.4%+0.9%+6.0%
December 6, 2010December 3, 2010 FC Sale $62,195 −14.1%+3.3%+10.6%
December 2, 2010December 1, 2010 FC Sale $62,788 −9.0%+10.6%+9.2%
November 12, 2010November 10, 2010 FC Sale $30,612 −8.4%−0.9%+0.4%
November 3, 2010November 2, 2010 FC Sale $83,700 −24.6%+0.2%+1.3%
November 1, 2010November 1, 2010 FC Sale $12,585 −12.4%+1.3%+9.9%
October 15, 2010October 13, 2010 FC Sale $34,199 −7.1%+2.0%+10.0%
October 12, 2010October 11, 2010 FC Sale $44,859 −2.7%+10.0%+0.9%
October 6, 2010October 5, 2010 FC Sale $45,960 −2.5%+5.4%+7.5%
September 24, 2010September 23, 2010 FC Sale $42,616 +6.0%−2.5%−14.1%
September 17, 2010September 16, 2010 FC Sale $41,305 +6.7%−14.7%−12.6%
September 2, 2010September 2, 2010 FC Sale $41,540 +17.6%+24.8%+37.6%
August 11, 2010August 10, 2010 FC Sale $36,360 +33.7%+60.9%+67.0%
August 9, 2010August 6, 2010 FC Sale $61,000 +28.1%+67.0%+70.0%
August 6, 2010August 5, 2010 FC Sale $29,422 +39.2%+59.6%+65.7%
July 7, 2010July 6, 2010 FC Sale $18,780 +26.5%+61.6%+38.3%
July 2, 2010July 1, 2010 FC Sale $98,390 +13.7%+38.3%+15.2%
June 29, 2010June 29, 2010 FC Sale $19,860 +9.1%+16.0%+19.1%
June 25, 2010June 25, 2010 FC Sale $10,736 +7.5%+17.2%+11.2%
June 24, 2010June 23, 2010 FC Sale $64,788 +9.2%+11.2%+1.4%
May 26, 2010May 25, 2010 FC Sale $61,986 −8.0%−2.7%−6.1%
May 25, 2010May 24, 2010 FC Sale $38,232 −12.5%−6.4%−8.2%
April 15, 2010April 13, 2010 FC Sale $100,044 −15.3%−4.2%−1.2%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Whitman Robert A traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.