undamentalytics Newsletter

Stewart H Malcolm: insider trades

Officer at Camden Property Trust. No open-market purchases and 31 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from April 23, 2010 to December 9, 2021.

What happened after Stewart H Malcolm’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −3.7% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 48% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Stewart H Malcolm: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 31 −1.1% −0.6% 55% 12 −0.57 0.58 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 31 −3.7% 0.0% 48% 12 −1.19 0.26 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 31 −3.3% −1.3% 55% 12 −0.95 0.36 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Camden Property Trust CPT President & COO031April 23, 2010December 9, 2021

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
December 9, 2021December 8, 2021 CPT Sale $6,045,237 +6.3%−17.4%−17.0%
November 3, 2021November 2, 2021 CPT Sale $6,028,500 +7.6%−10.6%−11.4%
August 5, 2021August 3, 2021 CPT Sale $4,958,478 +3.3%+0.8%−1.3%
February 6, 2020February 4, 2020 CPT Sale $2,528,151 −9.4%−26.0%−22.3%
June 20, 2019June 18, 2019 CPT Sale $1,736,154 +2.5%−17.7%−17.1%
December 6, 2018December 3, 2018 CPT Sale $2,605,600 +2.7%+1.2%+6.7%
August 22, 2018August 20, 2018 CPT Sale $1,985,426 +7.7%+15.3%+13.1%
August 17, 2018August 15, 2018 CPT Sale $6,099,839 +2.2%+13.1%+12.5%
June 6, 2018June 5, 2018 CPT Sale $999,294 +1.4%+15.1%+16.4%
August 9, 2017August 8, 2017 CPT Sale $1,002,866 −1.0%−11.9%−10.9%
September 9, 2016September 8, 2016 CPT Sale $996,831 −8.0%0.0%+2.7%
August 11, 2016August 9, 2016 CPT Sale $998,905 −4.9%−1.9%−3.1%
May 9, 2016May 6, 2016 CPT Sale $2,705,066 −3.2%−14.0%−15.3%
March 26, 2015March 24, 2015 CPT Sale $991,773 −5.1%+10.1%+7.6%
March 11, 2015March 9, 2015 CPT Sale $679,790 −3.0%+8.8%+12.7%
February 20, 2015February 18, 2015 CPT Sale $781,251 0.0%+9.6%+7.6%
January 7, 2015January 5, 2015 CPT Sale $722,774 −1.9%+5.6%+5.1%
September 12, 2014September 10, 2014 CPT Sale $1,018,187 +4.6%+4.9%−0.7%
August 25, 2014August 21, 2014 CPT Sale $997,626 −0.6%+2.2%+6.5%
January 9, 2014January 7, 2014 CPT Sale $1,721,004 +15.1%+25.6%+24.6%
September 23, 2013September 19, 2013 CPT Sale $140,763 −16.3%−8.3%−11.6%
May 16, 2013May 14, 2013 CPT Sale $2,031,571 −14.8%−17.2%−17.7%
February 21, 2013February 19, 2013 CPT Sale $439,055 −7.1%−28.5%−25.7%
February 8, 2013February 8, 2013 CPT Sale $696,846 +0.9%−21.4%−21.1%
January 7, 2013January 3, 2013 CPT Sale $1,383,884 −4.0%−39.8%−39.2%
July 19, 2012July 17, 2012 CPT Sale $571,200 −14.2%−20.8%−20.8%
May 7, 2012May 4, 2012 CPT Sale $718,896 −3.3%−11.4%−11.0%
September 12, 2011September 8, 2011 CPT Sale $2,858,991 −19.2%−18.5%−17.2%
March 28, 2011March 24, 2011 CPT Sale $743,707 +15.7%+9.9%+9.7%
January 11, 2011January 11, 2011 CPT Sale $105,322 +5.1%+12.5%+14.7%
April 23, 2010April 21, 2010 CPT Sale $129,561 +5.1%+17.2%+22.4%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Stewart H Malcolm traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.