undamentalytics Newsletter

Rowan Marc J: insider trades

Director at Athene Holding Ltd. No open-market purchases and 7 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from August 6, 2021 to August 23, 2021.

What happened after Rowan Marc J’s sales?

None of these trades can be measured yet: either the window after the report has not finished or the share price was under $5 when it was reported.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Rowan Marc J: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Athene Holding Ltd. ATHS —07August 6, 2021August 23, 2021

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
August 23, 2021August 23, 2021 ATHS Sale $5,010,724 not yetnot yetnot yet
August 20, 2021August 18, 2021 ATHS Sale $4,243,114 not yetnot yetnot yet
August 17, 2021August 16, 2021 ATHS Sale $10,260,593 not yetnot yetnot yet
August 13, 2021August 12, 2021 ATHS Sale $17,691,976 not yetnot yetnot yet
August 11, 2021August 11, 2021 ATHS Sale $6,587,596 not yetnot yetnot yet
August 11, 2021August 9, 2021 ATHS Sale $15,765,103 not yetnot yetnot yet
August 6, 2021August 6, 2021 ATHS Sale $6,011,523 not yetnot yetnot yet

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Rowan Marc J traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.