undamentalytics Newsletter

Mcentire Thomas T: insider trades

Chief financial officer at Geospace Technologies Corp. No open-market purchases and 13 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from August 20, 2010 to February 13, 2013.

What happened after Mcentire Thomas T’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +8.2% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 8% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Mcentire Thomas T: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 13 +13.0% −4.9% 54% 3 — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the report 13 +8.2% +6.7% 8% 3 — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the trade 13 +7.9% +4.5% 8% 3 — — Not enough years

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Geospace Technologies Corp GEOS CFO & Secretary013August 20, 2010February 13, 2013

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
February 13, 2013February 11, 2013 GEOS Sale $2,669,752 −25.9%−54.6%−54.9%
March 10, 2011March 8, 2011 GEOS Sale $230,100 +2.0%+6.7%+3.7%
March 8, 2011March 4, 2011 GEOS Sale $402,320 −4.9%+5.3%+1.7%
March 4, 2011March 2, 2011 GEOS Sale $342,940 −8.2%+3.4%+5.6%
March 2, 2011February 28, 2011 GEOS Sale $218,935 −12.6%+2.7%+4.5%
February 28, 2011February 24, 2011 GEOS Sale $418,475 −9.6%+7.0%+2.9%
February 24, 2011February 22, 2011 GEOS Sale $434,940 −17.2%+1.1%+0.4%
February 22, 2011February 17, 2011 GEOS Sale $428,968 −22.3%+1.1%+0.2%
September 13, 2010September 9, 2010 GEOS Sale $54,150 +73.6%+27.5%+25.9%
September 8, 2010September 3, 2010 GEOS Sale $197,760 +64.8%+25.9%+22.0%
September 3, 2010September 1, 2010 GEOS Sale $90,100 +60.3%+24.5%+32.5%
August 31, 2010August 27, 2010 GEOS Sale $13,500 +43.8%+32.5%+24.0%
August 20, 2010August 18, 2010 GEOS Sale $45,485 +24.8%+23.6%+34.1%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Mcentire Thomas T traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.