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Halbrook John A: insider trades

Director at Woodward, Inc. No open-market purchases and 16 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from June 4, 2010 to September 5, 2017.

What happened after Halbrook John A’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −1.2% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 56% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 16 −1.6% −3.6% 63% 8 −0.16 0.88 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 16 −1.2% −3.3% 56% 8 −0.04 0.97 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 16 −0.7% −3.3% 63% 8 0.23 0.83 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Woodward, Inc. WWD —016June 4, 2010September 5, 2017

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
September 5, 2017September 1, 2017 WWD Sale $127,080 +1.0%−5.2%−5.0%
August 17, 2017August 15, 2017 WWD Sale $609,143 +7.8%−1.3%−3.2%
March 6, 2017March 2, 2017 WWD Sale $582,610 −3.9%−12.2%−15.1%
January 20, 2016January 15, 2016 WWD Sale $352,776 +12.3%+30.7%+29.3%
June 4, 2015June 2, 2015 WWD Sale $388,425 −9.4%+6.5%+10.1%
January 20, 2015January 15, 2015 WWD Sale $327,405 +4.8%+4.9%+10.9%
November 24, 2014November 20, 2014 WWD Sale $359,750 −10.1%−8.2%−9.3%
December 2, 2013November 27, 2013 WWD Sale $86,060 −4.7%+4.2%+3.8%
August 5, 2013August 1, 2013 WWD Sale $435,491 −6.6%+7.2%+3.8%
June 5, 2013May 30, 2013 WWD Sale $145,287 −4.4%+5.8%−3.5%
March 6, 2013March 4, 2013 WWD Sale $373,040 −0.1%−10.2%−8.4%
February 22, 2013February 20, 2013 WWD Sale $118,500 −7.8%−9.8%−10.2%
September 6, 2012September 4, 2012 WWD Sale $70,120 +0.5%−7.7%−6.4%
December 2, 2011November 30, 2011 WWD Sale $456,650 −5.9%−25.6%−29.0%
May 13, 2011February 10, 2011 WWD Sale $8,936,200 −3.4%+7.5%+25.0%
June 4, 2010June 2, 2010 WWD Sale $963,550 +4.2%−6.3%−3.2%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Halbrook John A traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.