undamentalytics Newsletter

Bryant Andy D: insider trades

Officer, Director at 2 companies we cover. No open-market purchases and 22 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from November 1, 2011 to November 18, 2019.

What happened after Bryant Andy D’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −7.8% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 68% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Bryant Andy D: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 22 −2.1% −1.6% 59% 9 −0.89 0.40 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 22 −7.8% −3.3% 68% 9 −1.01 0.34 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 22 −7.4% −4.1% 59% 9 −0.95 0.37 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Intel INTC Chairman016November 1, 2011November 18, 2019
Columbia Sportswear Co COLM —06February 24, 2015August 5, 2019

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
November 18, 2019November 15, 2019 INTC Sale $2,733,238 +3.4%−37.3%−36.9%
August 5, 2019August 1, 2019 COLM Sale $888,247 −15.6%−38.7%−38.7%
August 1, 2019July 31, 2019 INTC Sale $699,094 +12.8%−13.1%−14.0%
August 1, 2019July 30, 2019 COLM Sale $2,152,800 −15.2%−41.7%−32.9%
November 1, 2018October 30, 2018 COLM Sale $1,217,890 −0.8%−14.4%−16.3%
May 21, 2018May 17, 2018 COLM Sale $1,702,488 +1.4%+8.4%+8.7%
May 10, 2018May 8, 2018 INTC Sale $1,890,658 −14.3%−21.2%−20.4%
October 31, 2017October 30, 2017 INTC Sale $3,991,098 −8.1%−2.4%+4.1%
February 28, 2017February 27, 2017 COLM Sale $577,315 −2.9%+24.4%+19.2%
February 14, 2017February 10, 2017 INTC Sale $2,843,543 −2.9%+12.5%+13.6%
October 24, 2016October 20, 2016 INTC Sale $861,939 +0.1%−1.9%−5.1%
July 27, 2016July 25, 2016 INTC Sale $15,440,346 +2.1%−11.6%−13.6%
April 22, 2016April 21, 2016 INTC Sale $5,939,965 +7.1%+4.4%+2.6%
January 29, 2016January 27, 2016 INTC Sale $6,157,380 −7.8%+3.4%+5.6%
October 22, 2015October 21, 2015 INTC Sale $773,030 −5.8%−1.5%+1.4%
February 24, 2015February 23, 2015 COLM Sale $805,218 +1.4%+15.7%+13.3%
November 4, 2014October 31, 2014 INTC Sale $1,520,100 −2.8%−2.2%−3.2%
October 28, 2014October 28, 2014 INTC Sale $5,745,468 −3.2%−4.2%−1.5%
July 28, 2014July 24, 2014 INTC Sale $927,450 −2.3%−21.9%−22.6%
October 30, 2013October 29, 2013 INTC Sale $17,014,744 −0.8%+26.8%+29.1%
February 1, 2012February 1, 2012 INTC Sale $10,676,000 +4.1%−32.7%−32.9%
November 1, 2011October 31, 2011 INTC Sale $2,663,280 +4.8%−21.3%−22.5%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Bryant Andy D traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.