undamentalytics Newsletter

Jeppesen Michael: insider trades

Officer at Wolverine World Wide Inc. No open-market purchases and 11 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from August 6, 2015 to May 18, 2021.

What happened after Jeppesen Michael’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −20.0% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 64% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Jeppesen Michael: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 11 −8.1% −9.4% 73% 6 −2.23 0.076 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 11 −20.0% −22.0% 64% 6 −2.00 0.10 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 11 −19.6% −21.3% 64% 6 −2.02 0.099 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Wolverine World Wide Inc WWW Pres, Global Ops Group011August 6, 2015May 18, 2021

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
May 18, 2021May 14, 2021 WWW Sale $481,662 −7.6%−41.4%−46.7%
March 10, 2021March 9, 2021 WWW Sale $913,732 −16.3%−52.7%−48.8%
March 3, 2021March 1, 2021 WWW Sale $1,119,440 −10.4%−51.1%−47.6%
February 28, 2020February 27, 2020 WWW Sale $1,257,881 −17.1%+5.3%+2.7%
February 26, 2019February 22, 2019 WWW Sale $1,373,113 −21.6%−33.6%−34.0%
August 17, 2018August 15, 2018 WWW Sale $1,856,433 −9.4%−37.9%−42.0%
May 15, 2018May 11, 2018 WWW Sale $1,500,660 +12.3%−16.1%−10.2%
February 27, 2018February 23, 2018 WWW Sale $551,848 +14.3%+19.7%+18.0%
November 16, 2017November 14, 2017 WWW Sale $330,242 −0.6%+9.8%+11.7%
February 28, 2017February 24, 2017 WWW Sale $598,007 +0.5%+0.3%+1.9%
August 6, 2015August 4, 2015 WWW Sale $426,450 −32.7%−22.0%−21.2%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Jeppesen Michael traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.