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Winston James H: insider trades

Director at FRP Holdings, Inc. No open-market purchases and 18 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from December 6, 2010 to June 1, 2015.

What happened after Winston James H’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +3.1% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 44% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 18 −1.4% −1.6% 56% 6 −0.58 0.59 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 18 +3.1% +1.6% 44% 6 −0.09 0.93 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 18 +3.8% +1.9% 39% 6 −0.13 0.90 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
FRP Holdings, Inc. FRPH —018December 6, 2010June 1, 2015

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
June 1, 2015May 29, 2015 FRPH Sale $65,056 +9.4%−0.3%+0.9%
May 28, 2015May 27, 2015 FRPH Sale $21,326 +7.1%+0.9%+2.8%
February 19, 2015February 18, 2015 FRPH Sale $30,460 −2.1%+14.8%+6.8%
February 12, 2015February 10, 2015 FRPH Sale $111,821 −4.2%+5.6%+2.9%
August 20, 2014August 18, 2014 FRPH Sale $54,497 −3.9%−2.4%−5.7%
March 18, 2014March 14, 2014 FRPH Sale $43,548 −14.2%−8.3%−8.3%
May 8, 2013May 7, 2013 FRPH Sale $118,602 +4.2%−1.4%−1.6%
May 7, 2013May 6, 2013 FRPH Sale $145,354 +7.5%−3.3%−2.1%
March 5, 2013March 4, 2013 FRPH Sale $23,732 +2.4%+15.5%+12.9%
December 17, 2012December 14, 2012 FRPH Sale $41,125 −8.2%+5.7%+20.7%
December 12, 2012December 10, 2012 FRPH Sale $303,360 −1.2%+18.9%+28.7%
September 10, 2012September 6, 2012 FRPH Sale $79,770 −7.3%−0.4%−1.3%
August 31, 2012August 29, 2012 FRPH Sale $62,850 +0.2%−1.0%+0.2%
August 9, 2012August 8, 2012 FRPH Sale $269,640 +5.7%+11.6%+14.9%
June 19, 2012June 15, 2012 FRPH Sale $44,000 −2.2%+11.3%+10.9%
February 7, 2012February 6, 2012 FRPH Sale $46,795 −14.3%+2.3%−0.6%
December 12, 2011December 9, 2011 FRPH Sale $57,537 +6.6%+11.5%+3.4%
December 6, 2010December 1, 2010 FRPH Sale $307,160 −11.4%−24.8%−16.3%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Winston James H traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.