undamentalytics Newsletter

Weirick Joseph B: insider trades

Director at Community West Bancshares. No open-market purchases and 12 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from January 7, 2011 to August 1, 2016.

What happened after Weirick Joseph B’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +4.4% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 50% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Weirick Joseph B: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 12 +1.9% +1.8% 33% 6 0.87 0.42 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 12 +4.4% +0.1% 50% 6 1.00 0.36 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 12 +3.1% −1.5% 50% 6 0.75 0.49 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Community West Bancshares CWBC —012January 7, 2011August 1, 2016

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
August 1, 2016August 1, 2016 CWBC Sale $30,420 −4.9%+28.4%+31.5%
October 30, 2015October 30, 2015 CWBC Sale $33,150 +5.6%+26.0%+25.1%
May 12, 2015May 11, 2015 CWBC Sale $26,925 +3.6%+26.2%+24.4%
June 13, 2014June 13, 2014 CWBC Sale $33,750 +1.0%−10.1%−11.9%
March 17, 2014March 14, 2014 CWBC Sale $33,695 −0.2%−16.7%−18.6%
October 30, 2013October 30, 2013 CWBC Sale $30,900 +10.1%−12.6%−15.2%
June 17, 2013June 14, 2013 CWBC Sale $95,200 +2.5%+4.8%−4.8%
November 28, 2012November 28, 2012 CWBC Sale $43,500 −8.2%−6.0%−5.3%
August 31, 2012August 30, 2012 CWBC Sale $20,000 −0.3%+0.6%+4.8%
May 10, 2012May 10, 2012 CWBC Sale $34,250 +1.2%−0.5%+1.8%
December 21, 2011December 19, 2011 CWBC Sale $33,000 +6.1%+23.9%+20.9%
January 7, 2011January 6, 2011 CWBC Sale $115,000 +6.0%−11.5%−14.9%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Weirick Joseph B traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.