undamentalytics Newsletter

Cave George H: insider trades

Officer at ON Semiconductor Corp. No open-market purchases and 25 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from December 3, 2010 to September 16, 2020.

What happened after Cave George H’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −0.5% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 60% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Cave George H: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 25 −1.9% −1.2% 52% 11 0.09 0.93 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 25 −0.5% −14.8% 60% 11 0.21 0.83 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 25 −1.3% −17.4% 68% 11 0.14 0.89 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
ON Semiconductor Corp ON EVP, Gen Cnsl, CCO, & Sec025December 3, 2010September 16, 2020

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
September 16, 2020September 14, 2020 ON Sale $218,200 +31.4%+89.4%+84.2%
May 6, 2019May 2, 2019 ON Sale $342,600 −20.6%−30.9%−33.2%
May 14, 2018May 10, 2018 ON Sale $352,650 −16.4%−24.7%−22.2%
February 23, 2018February 21, 2018 ON Sale $225,581 +7.7%−13.9%−7.0%
June 7, 2017June 5, 2017 ON Sale $241,350 −1.2%+35.1%+47.9%
May 23, 2017May 19, 2017 ON Sale $308,000 +3.0%+45.9%+37.7%
February 21, 2017February 16, 2017 ON Sale $768,408 −6.5%+28.0%+26.5%
December 16, 2016December 14, 2016 ON Sale $254,300 +12.0%+41.5%+36.6%
December 1, 2016November 29, 2016 ON Sale $60,400 +29.0%+48.0%+46.4%
February 17, 2015February 13, 2015 ON Sale $179,250 +3.2%−30.7%−29.5%
September 3, 2014August 29, 2014 ON Sale $243,250 −5.1%+0.2%−2.5%
June 17, 2014June 13, 2014 ON Sale $90,600 +5.0%+28.6%+26.0%
June 13, 2014June 11, 2014 ON Sale $135,900 +2.6%+29.0%+30.4%
November 14, 2013November 13, 2013 ON Sale $57,920 +31.0%+2.5%−3.7%
May 21, 2013May 17, 2013 ON Sale $82,700 −9.4%−11.2%−11.7%
February 13, 2013February 11, 2013 ON Sale $128,150 −16.2%−14.8%−17.4%
March 16, 2012March 14, 2012 ON Sale $204,425 −20.5%−23.1%−22.2%
March 1, 2012February 28, 2012 ON Sale $45,550 −20.8%−22.4%−26.9%
February 21, 2012February 16, 2012 ON Sale $102,584 −22.2%−24.2%−27.6%
December 9, 2011December 7, 2011 ON Sale $81,500 +2.1%−28.5%−32.2%
May 12, 2011May 10, 2011 ON Sale $355,205 −21.8%−39.8%−37.0%
May 10, 2011May 9, 2011 ON Sale $114,100 −22.4%−38.6%−34.8%
February 17, 2011February 15, 2011 ON Sale $58,250 −2.5%−24.1%−22.6%
December 10, 2010December 8, 2010 ON Sale $62,640 +3.0%−17.2%−17.8%
December 3, 2010December 1, 2010 ON Sale $209,378 +9.1%−16.0%−18.7%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Cave George H traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.