undamentalytics Newsletter

Coleman Robert D: insider trades

Officer at UFP Industries Inc. No open-market purchases and 28 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from November 16, 2011 to October 29, 2019.

What happened after Coleman Robert D’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +6.3% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 46% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Coleman Robert D: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 28 +3.9% +1.1% 39% 9 0.40 0.70 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 28 +6.3% +2.9% 46% 9 0.75 0.47 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 28 +5.5% −0.2% 50% 9 0.57 0.58 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
UFP Industries Inc UFPI Exec Vice Pres Manufacturing028November 16, 2011October 29, 2019

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
October 29, 2019October 28, 2019 UFPI Sale $515,000 −10.5%−9.4%−13.2%
September 16, 2019September 13, 2019 UFPI Sale $425,000 +13.9%+28.8%+24.7%
July 29, 2019July 26, 2019 UFPI Sale $802,500 +21.9%+33.3%+30.5%
May 3, 2019May 3, 2019 UFPI Sale $375,600 +5.6%+8.8%+8.8%
April 29, 2019April 26, 2019 UFPI Sale $353,400 +9.7%+17.1%+11.2%
September 12, 2018September 10, 2018 UFPI Sale $378,994 −19.5%+5.3%+3.1%
September 6, 2018September 5, 2018 UFPI Sale $187,700 −19.6%+0.5%−3.5%
November 1, 2017October 31, 2017 UFPI Sale $456,768 −10.7%−29.8%−31.3%
October 26, 2017October 26, 2017 UFPI Sale $550,725 −4.7%−29.1%−29.4%
September 7, 2016September 6, 2016 UFPI Sale $270,425 −4.2%−31.5%−33.3%
September 2, 2016September 2, 2016 UFPI Sale $813,967 −7.6%−33.3%−34.3%
October 19, 2015October 16, 2015 UFPI Sale $177,500 −0.5%+22.8%+31.9%
July 20, 2015July 17, 2015 UFPI Sale $146,250 +19.9%+64.4%+65.9%
April 22, 2015April 22, 2015 UFPI Sale $140,000 +10.1%+52.9%+44.6%
February 23, 2015February 20, 2015 UFPI Sale $262,500 +0.4%+46.9%+41.1%
October 31, 2014October 31, 2014 UFPI Sale $127,500 +0.3%+41.7%+45.4%
October 31, 2014October 30, 2014 UFPI Sale $125,000 +0.3%+41.7%+41.3%
October 24, 2013October 23, 2013 UFPI Sale $28,914 −0.2%−18.3%−15.0%
October 23, 2013October 22, 2013 UFPI Sale $69,090 −2.9%−17.9%−15.1%
October 22, 2013October 22, 2013 UFPI Sale $48,000 +1.8%−15.0%−15.1%
October 18, 2013October 18, 2013 UFPI Sale $141,000 +5.8%−12.2%−6.6%
August 1, 2013July 26, 2013 UFPI Sale $41,030 +24.3%−5.4%−8.3%
July 26, 2013July 25, 2013 UFPI Sale $40,350 +22.0%−7.9%−7.3%
July 24, 2013July 23, 2013 UFPI Sale $40,220 +17.7%−7.3%−5.0%
July 19, 2013July 19, 2013 UFPI Sale $40,150 +13.5%−6.5%−7.5%
December 13, 2012December 11, 2012 UFPI Sale $92,060 +3.0%+8.1%+10.5%
December 6, 2012December 4, 2012 UFPI Sale $183,200 −1.5%+7.9%+5.9%
November 16, 2011November 15, 2011 UFPI Sale $279,371 +20.1%+21.2%+12.5%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Coleman Robert D traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.