undamentalytics Newsletter

Morrical Terri A: insider trades

Officer, Other at Neogen Corp. No open-market purchases and 32 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from October 4, 2010 to May 4, 2021.

What happened after Morrical Terri A’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −5.3% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 59% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Morrical Terri A: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 32 +0.4% +1.8% 44% 12 0.06 0.95 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 32 −5.3% −0.4% 59% 12 −0.99 0.35 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 32 −5.0% −0.6% 56% 12 −1.08 0.30 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Neogen Corp NEOG Vice President032October 4, 2010May 4, 2021

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
May 4, 2021May 3, 2021 NEOG Sale $405,848 −13.5%−43.2%−44.9%
April 27, 2021April 26, 2021 NEOG Sale $186,375 −14.2%−45.3%−44.8%
April 5, 2021March 31, 2021 NEOG Sale $2,764,230 −4.5%−44.1%−47.0%
March 31, 2021March 29, 2021 NEOG Sale $52,794 −4.4%−45.2%−42.6%
January 17, 2020January 16, 2020 NEOG Sale $2,753,613 +7.5%+5.6%+4.1%
October 17, 2019October 16, 2019 NEOG Sale $497,485 −4.7%−9.3%−8.9%
May 8, 2019May 6, 2019 NEOG Sale $468,844 +14.1%+4.5%+1.2%
August 31, 2018August 30, 2018 NEOG Sale $641,160 −26.1%−25.5%−25.5%
July 24, 2018July 20, 2018 NEOG Sale $1,270,542 −21.1%−22.9%−29.4%
April 9, 2018April 6, 2018 NEOG Sale $1,003,144 +17.6%−25.2%−28.2%
October 6, 2017October 4, 2017 NEOG Sale $421,818 −7.5%−5.2%−1.2%
September 28, 2017September 27, 2017 NEOG Sale $854,964 −0.6%+2.5%+3.3%
January 11, 2017January 9, 2017 NEOG Sale $1,824,912 −12.0%−4.7%−3.8%
December 27, 2016December 23, 2016 NEOG Sale $1,421,064 −8.3%+2.8%+3.8%
September 30, 2016September 28, 2016 NEOG Sale $519,697 +12.6%+22.0%+22.6%
February 1, 2016January 29, 2016 NEOG Sale $239,135 −19.0%+2.4%+4.1%
July 24, 2015July 22, 2015 NEOG Sale $1,116,579 −15.0%−14.1%−12.8%
October 31, 2014October 31, 2014 NEOG Sale $440,500 +7.3%+22.5%+19.2%
March 28, 2014March 26, 2014 NEOG Sale $632,912 −15.1%−8.6%−7.9%
September 27, 2013September 25, 2013 NEOG Sale $1,074,539 +2.4%−22.0%−15.3%
August 19, 2013August 15, 2013 NEOG Sale $245,545 +22.0%−0.2%−0.1%
April 4, 2013April 2, 2013 NEOG Sale $869,588 +11.4%+7.0%+14.4%
January 2, 2013December 31, 2012 NEOG Sale $62,678 +1.0%+17.3%+19.0%
December 31, 2012December 28, 2012 NEOG Sale $385,366 +1.5%+17.7%+19.2%
August 10, 2012August 8, 2012 NEOG Sale $101,963 +9.6%+23.6%+21.3%
August 8, 2012August 7, 2012 NEOG Sale $247,477 +8.4%+23.6%+18.5%
March 30, 2012March 28, 2012 NEOG Sale $198,100 +22.9%+12.5%+12.6%
April 5, 2011April 1, 2011 NEOG Sale $256,725 +10.2%−16.2%−12.6%
October 12, 2010October 7, 2010 NEOG Sale $487,197 +2.2%−0.5%−1.0%
October 7, 2010October 5, 2010 NEOG Sale $99,115 +4.9%−2.4%−0.1%
October 4, 2010October 1, 2010 NEOG Sale $132,415 +11.9%−0.1%+5.6%
October 4, 2010September 29, 2010 NEOG Sale $139,387 +11.9%−0.1%−3.6%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Morrical Terri A traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.