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Schrock Michael V: insider trades

Officer, Director at 2 companies we cover. No open-market purchases and 10 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from November 7, 2012 to March 5, 2021.

What happened after Schrock Michael V’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −2.9% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 50% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 10 −1.8% −1.4% 50% 7 −0.53 0.62 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 10 −2.9% −4.1% 50% 7 −0.48 0.65 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 10 −4.0% −7.0% 70% 7 −0.57 0.59 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Plexus Corp PLXS —07April 27, 2016March 5, 2021
Pentair PNR President, COO03November 7, 2012August 2, 2013

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
March 5, 2021March 5, 2021 PLXS Sale $430,200 0.0%−19.4%−22.3%
August 14, 2020August 12, 2020 PLXS Sale $393,500 −11.7%−23.3%−22.8%
October 30, 2019October 28, 2019 PLXS Sale $362,000 −11.8%−15.7%−18.1%
April 25, 2019April 23, 2019 PLXS Sale $302,350 −4.2%+2.4%−3.7%
November 24, 2017November 21, 2017 PLXS Sale $630,400 −9.4%−10.6%−10.5%
May 18, 2017May 16, 2017 PLXS Sale $256,850 −2.9%+2.4%−0.9%
April 27, 2016April 25, 2016 PLXS Sale $418,500 +5.1%+8.3%+9.7%
August 2, 2013July 31, 2013 PNR Sale $14,063,828 +3.4%−10.8%−10.3%
May 21, 2013May 17, 2013 PNR Sale $7,453,923 +8.1%+15.2%+15.2%
November 7, 2012November 6, 2012 PNR Sale $3,151,441 +5.0%+22.8%+23.7%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Schrock Michael V traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.