undamentalytics Newsletter

Thomas Gary L: insider trades

Officer at EOG Resources. No open-market purchases and 16 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from June 11, 2010 to June 21, 2018.

What happened after Thomas Gary L’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −8.5% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 63% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Thomas Gary L: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 16 −7.2% −8.5% 75% 8 −2.47 0.043 Some evidence: seller right
Sales, 12 months after the report 16 −8.5% −9.7% 63% 8 −1.14 0.29 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 16 −8.2% −10.1% 63% 8 −1.56 0.16 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
EOG Resources EOG President016June 11, 2010June 21, 2018

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
June 21, 2018June 20, 2018 EOG Sale $6,609,637 −5.8%−31.4%−30.7%
May 18, 2018May 17, 2018 EOG Sale $6,268,000 −14.8%−33.1%−31.6%
January 11, 2018January 10, 2018 EOG Sale $4,517,600 −0.3%−9.7%−9.2%
January 3, 2018December 29, 2017 EOG Sale $215,919 −4.0%−9.7%−11.0%
October 2, 2017September 28, 2017 EOG Sale $2,415,656 +7.6%+18.5%+14.4%
December 1, 2016November 30, 2016 EOG Sale $6,103,800 −12.4%−24.6%−22.2%
June 29, 2015June 26, 2015 EOG Sale $764,111 −11.6%−6.4%−7.2%
June 26, 2014June 24, 2014 EOG Sale $1,142,873 −13.5%−32.0%−31.5%
September 9, 2013September 6, 2013 EOG Sale $1,966,200 −11.1%+4.5%+2.8%
August 13, 2013August 12, 2013 EOG Sale $1,914,000 +1.6%+15.2%+18.3%
December 7, 2012December 5, 2012 EOG Sale $950,464 +0.3%+6.4%+10.8%
November 20, 2012November 16, 2012 EOG Sale $3,166,512 −4.4%+12.2%+10.7%
September 11, 2012September 7, 2012 EOG Sale $13,240,584 +5.8%+27.0%+28.9%
July 15, 2010July 14, 2010 EOG Sale $1,688,000 −13.8%−26.4%−29.3%
June 22, 2010June 21, 2010 EOG Sale $1,809,269 −19.7%−24.7%−25.1%
June 11, 2010June 10, 2010 EOG Sale $1,738,663 −18.6%−22.2%−18.4%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Thomas Gary L traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.