undamentalytics Newsletter

Bain Howard A III: insider trades

Director at Onto Innovation Inc. No open-market purchases and 5 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from February 23, 2011 to March 17, 2014.

What happened after Bain Howard A III’s sales?

None of these trades can be measured yet: either the window after the report has not finished or the share price was under $5 when it was reported.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Bain Howard A III: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Onto Innovation Inc. ONTO —05February 23, 2011March 17, 2014

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
March 17, 2014March 14, 2014 ONTO Sale $78,153 not yetnot yetnot yet
November 21, 2013November 20, 2013 ONTO Sale $44,075 not yetnot yetnot yet
November 5, 2013November 1, 2013 ONTO Sale $87,966 not yetnot yetnot yet
February 16, 2012February 14, 2012 ONTO Sale $58,500 not yetnot yetnot yet
February 23, 2011February 18, 2011 ONTO Sale $256,158 not yetnot yetnot yet

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Bain Howard A III traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.