undamentalytics Newsletter

Racioppi Michael: insider trades

Officer at Henry Schein. No open-market purchases and 11 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from March 8, 2010 to March 21, 2017.

What happened after Racioppi Michael’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −2.7% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 27% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Racioppi Michael: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 11 +1.2% +1.8% 27% 8 0.82 0.44 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 11 −2.7% +4.9% 27% 8 −1.05 0.33 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 11 −2.8% +3.2% 27% 8 −1.04 0.33 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Henry Schein HSIC SVP Chief Merchandising Offic.011March 8, 2010March 21, 2017

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
March 21, 2017March 20, 2017 HSIC Sale $1,711,562 +2.4%−38.0%−39.9%
February 23, 2016February 22, 2016 HSIC Sale $3,596,082 −5.1%−22.5%−20.4%
December 21, 2015December 17, 2015 HSIC Sale $1,543,764 +8.2%−14.4%−13.8%
March 3, 2014February 28, 2014 HSIC Sale $2,213,374 −2.3%+3.8%+3.2%
December 20, 2013December 19, 2013 HSIC Sale $3,275,972 +0.7%+5.0%+6.1%
March 12, 2013March 11, 2013 HSIC Sale $1,537,907 +1.8%+10.1%+10.6%
December 19, 2012December 18, 2012 HSIC Sale $1,394,801 +2.1%+9.1%+9.9%
March 13, 2012March 13, 2012 HSIC Sale $1,599,182 +3.3%+4.9%+5.2%
March 4, 2011March 2, 2011 HSIC Sale $1,425,850 +1.2%+0.5%+1.4%
September 16, 2010September 15, 2010 HSIC Sale $964,188 −1.6%+5.5%+3.9%
March 8, 2010March 4, 2010 HSIC Sale $880,312 +2.9%+6.6%+2.7%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Racioppi Michael traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.