undamentalytics Newsletter

Berg Jeffrey: insider trades

Director at Oracle Corporation. No open-market purchases and 19 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from March 30, 2011 to October 30, 2025.

What happened after Berg Jeffrey’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −2.3% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 61% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Berg Jeffrey: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 19 −1.6% −1.4% 53% 13 −0.90 0.39 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 18 −2.3% −5.5% 61% 12 −0.79 0.45 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 19 −4.8% −4.9% 63% 13 −1.21 0.25 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Oracle Corporation ORCL —019March 30, 2011October 30, 2025

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
October 30, 2025October 28, 2025 ORCL Sale $13,971,423 −42.3%not yet−62.8%
June 21, 2024June 20, 2024 ORCL Sale $3,220,041 +13.7%+39.7%+39.6%
March 19, 2024March 18, 2024 ORCL Sale $5,750,847 +5.8%+9.4%+9.5%
June 16, 2023June 15, 2023 ORCL Sale $609,758 −8.9%−7.7%−12.1%
April 4, 2023April 3, 2023 ORCL Sale $4,214,250 +13.3%+3.9%+7.6%
April 9, 2021April 8, 2021 ORCL Sale $3,353,850 +7.9%−2.2%−0.5%
March 27, 2020March 26, 2020 ORCL Sale $4,426,243 −7.6%−10.8%−12.5%
November 12, 2019November 8, 2019 ORCL Sale $534,609 −10.6%−14.3%−14.6%
March 21, 2019March 21, 2019 ORCL Sale $1,991,250 +1.0%+3.7%+4.0%
April 13, 2018April 12, 2018 ORCL Sale $3,445,500 +0.7%+9.9%+10.0%
September 21, 2017September 20, 2017 ORCL Sale $2,161,363 −9.3%−10.7%−12.2%
March 17, 2017March 17, 2017 ORCL Sale $1,454,150 −2.3%−10.9%−0.7%
April 13, 2016April 11, 2016 ORCL Sale $424,320 −3.0%−5.7%−6.7%
March 31, 2015March 27, 2015 ORCL Sale $1,599,000 −7.3%−5.4%−4.9%
January 2, 2014December 31, 2013 ORCL Sale $728,676 +4.2%+4.8%+5.5%
October 22, 2012October 18, 2012 ORCL Sale $151,271 +10.0%−17.4%−15.8%
October 19, 2012October 17, 2012 ORCL Sale $368,750 +10.0%−16.0%−15.0%
January 26, 2012January 25, 2012 ORCL Sale $337,632 −3.9%+9.6%+10.4%
March 30, 2011March 29, 2011 ORCL Sale $1,950,000 −1.4%−20.5%−19.5%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Berg Jeffrey traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.