undamentalytics Newsletter

Lindstrom James T: insider trades

Director at Semtech Corp. No open-market purchases and 33 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from March 22, 2011 to June 18, 2020.

What happened after Lindstrom James T’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −7.6% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 64% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Lindstrom James T: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 33 −0.6% +0.4% 49% 10 −1.04 0.33 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 33 −7.6% −12.0% 64% 10 −1.64 0.13 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 33 −7.2% −10.2% 64% 10 −1.22 0.25 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Semtech Corp SMTC Board of Directors033March 22, 2011June 18, 2020

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
June 18, 2020June 18, 2020 SMTC Sale $261,250 −4.9%−12.0%−12.6%
June 1, 2020June 1, 2020 SMTC Sale $264,600 −2.7%−21.3%−19.8%
September 30, 2019September 27, 2019 SMTC Sale $245,150 +1.4%−4.5%−6.8%
March 19, 2019March 18, 2019 SMTC Sale $269,800 −19.8%−25.1%−30.4%
September 12, 2018September 12, 2018 SMTC Sale $97,509 −10.5%−21.9%−23.1%
July 12, 2018July 11, 2018 SMTC Sale $122,025 −0.1%−11.0%−9.1%
June 11, 2018June 8, 2018 SMTC Sale $123,650 +11.7%−18.7%−18.7%
March 21, 2018March 20, 2018 SMTC Sale $203,150 +21.2%+21.1%+27.1%
December 22, 2017December 22, 2017 SMTC Sale $85,675 +14.6%+35.3%+37.5%
July 11, 2017July 11, 2017 SMTC Sale $181,750 +2.7%+17.6%+17.2%
June 20, 2017June 19, 2017 SMTC Sale $179,400 −4.7%+28.2%+23.3%
December 16, 2016December 16, 2016 SMTC Sale $98,096 −1.3%−17.6%−12.0%
December 8, 2016December 6, 2016 SMTC Sale $156,940 +0.4%−15.1%−16.5%
June 10, 2016June 8, 2016 SMTC Sale $121,950 +7.7%+34.3%+35.4%
January 4, 2016December 31, 2015 SMTC Sale $192,500 +14.1%+49.5%+54.8%
March 16, 2015March 13, 2015 SMTC Sale $275,400 −25.5%−24.8%−25.8%
August 28, 2014August 28, 2014 SMTC Sale $127,750 −6.0%−35.4%−35.2%
June 10, 2014June 10, 2014 SMTC Sale $137,300 −4.3%−34.3%−33.3%
March 12, 2014March 12, 2014 SMTC Sale $129,100 +3.6%−2.8%−3.8%
October 15, 2013October 11, 2013 SMTC Sale $157,400 −29.6%−36.2%−41.1%
May 30, 2013May 30, 2013 SMTC Sale $182,100 −18.7%−50.4%−48.0%
March 20, 2013March 20, 2013 SMTC Sale $168,900 +3.8%−44.6%−44.1%
December 26, 2012December 26, 2012 SMTC Sale $287,000 +10.3%−44.8%−44.8%
September 13, 2012September 13, 2012 SMTC Sale $127,900 +6.7%−1.6%+3.9%
September 11, 2012September 11, 2012 SMTC Sale $128,100 +10.8%+4.2%+3.5%
September 6, 2012September 6, 2012 SMTC Sale $126,400 +11.0%+2.8%+3.5%
January 3, 2012January 3, 2012 SMTC Sale $257,500 −0.5%+0.6%−1.0%
December 8, 2011December 8, 2011 SMTC Sale $115,050 +6.2%+4.7%+6.7%
December 5, 2011December 5, 2011 SMTC Sale $120,200 +3.9%+1.8%+2.4%
September 20, 2011September 20, 2011 SMTC Sale $133,048 −2.0%−12.1%−10.2%
June 8, 2011June 8, 2011 SMTC Sale $133,700 −10.0%−13.2%−15.2%
June 3, 2011June 3, 2011 SMTC Sale $135,600 −13.8%−14.7%−14.4%
March 22, 2011March 22, 2011 SMTC Sale $117,800 +5.6%+11.0%+11.6%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Lindstrom James T traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.