undamentalytics Newsletter

Levan George: insider trades

Officer at Skyworks Solutions, Inc. No open-market purchases and 19 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from March 4, 2010 to August 21, 2012.

What happened after Levan George’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −14.8% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 79% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Levan George: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 19 +4.6% +6.3% 26% 3 — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the report 19 −14.8% −34.7% 79% 3 — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the trade 19 −15.2% −30.7% 84% 3 — — Not enough years

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Skyworks Solutions, Inc. SWKS VP, Human Resources019March 4, 2010August 21, 2012

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
August 21, 2012August 17, 2012 SWKS Sale $304,530 −25.7%−33.4%−35.2%
August 1, 2012July 31, 2012 SWKS Sale $594,821 −32.6%−39.9%−41.8%
July 24, 2012July 20, 2012 SWKS Sale $219,409 −21.2%−40.4%−40.5%
June 8, 2012June 6, 2012 SWKS Sale $324,802 +1.4%−46.0%−49.6%
May 31, 2012May 29, 2012 SWKS Sale $276,990 +6.3%−37.0%−36.5%
March 19, 2012March 15, 2012 SWKS Sale $223,040 +2.2%−37.2%−36.3%
February 21, 2012February 16, 2012 SWKS Sale $341,000 +5.1%−27.7%−20.0%
February 6, 2012February 2, 2012 SWKS Sale $288,157 +2.4%−14.1%−13.0%
November 9, 2011November 7, 2011 SWKS Sale $231,596 +14.3%−3.9%−17.8%
February 8, 2011February 4, 2011 SWKS Sale $300,557 −20.3%−34.7%−37.5%
January 26, 2011January 24, 2011 SWKS Sale $612,867 −21.2%−36.4%−30.1%
December 13, 2010December 9, 2010 SWKS Sale $511,373 +13.0%−48.3%−47.1%
November 29, 2010November 24, 2010 SWKS Sale $428,968 +24.4%−46.3%−43.3%
November 19, 2010November 18, 2010 SWKS Sale $703,837 +24.9%−34.8%−30.7%
November 12, 2010November 12, 2010 SWKS Sale $639,925 +47.0%−21.6%−22.0%
September 13, 2010September 9, 2010 SWKS Sale $771,140 +30.2%+3.9%−1.3%
July 28, 2010July 26, 2010 SWKS Sale $1,352,325 +18.3%+20.7%+15.9%
March 11, 2010March 9, 2010 SWKS Sale $320,000 +10.8%+91.7%+95.9%
March 4, 2010March 3, 2010 SWKS Sale $518,176 +8.0%+103.6%+103.1%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Levan George traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.