undamentalytics Newsletter

Sosa Enrique: insider trades

Director at 2 companies we cover. No open-market purchases and 6 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from February 9, 2010 to February 24, 2017.

What happened after Sosa Enrique’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −0.5% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 33% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Sosa Enrique: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 6 −2.3% +4.4% 33% 4 −0.59 0.59 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 6 −0.5% +1.2% 33% 4 −0.48 0.66 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 6 +0.8% +2.6% 33% 4 −0.37 0.73 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. MD —04February 17, 2012February 24, 2017
FMC Corp FMC —02February 9, 2010September 23, 2010

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
February 24, 2017February 23, 2017 MD Sale $743,026 −26.1%−40.7%−36.0%
November 8, 2013November 7, 2013 MD Sale $570,738 +3.6%−2.8%−2.1%
November 9, 2012November 9, 2012 MD Sale $608,960 +5.2%+14.4%+11.9%
February 17, 2012February 16, 2012 MD Sale $1,501,400 −12.7%+1.5%+1.8%
September 23, 2010September 22, 2010 FMC Sale $1,027,820 +7.3%+0.9%+3.4%
February 9, 2010February 8, 2010 FMC Sale $911,370 +9.1%+23.8%+26.1%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Sosa Enrique traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.