Shoshani Ziv: insider trades

Chief executive, Director at 2 companies we cover. No open-market purchases and 10 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from February 14, 2011 to February 17, 2021.

What happened after Shoshani Ziv’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −18.1% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 90% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Shoshani Ziv: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
Measured	Trades counted	Average vs S&P 500	Median	Went the right way	Years	t-statistic	p-value	Evidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report	10	−4.7%	−4.7%	80%	8	−1.67	0.14	No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report	10	−18.1%	−26.2%	90%	8	−2.89	0.023	Some evidence: seller right
Sales, 12 months after the trade	10	−21.3%	−28.3%	90%	8	−3.42	0.011	Some evidence: seller right

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

Company	Title on the latest filing	Purchases	Sales	First report	Latest report
Vishay Intertechnology Inc VSH	—	0	8	February 14, 2011	February 17, 2021
Vishay Precision Group, Inc. VPG	President & CEO	0	2	August 28, 2014	August 28, 2018

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

Reported	Traded	Company	Trade	Value	3 months after report	12 months after report	12 months after trade
February 17, 2021	February 16, 2021	VSH	Sale	$193,579	−2.8%	−25.9%	−27.7%
November 6, 2019	November 5, 2019	VSH	Sale	$625,500	−6.7%	−26.5%	−32.4%
December 13, 2018	December 12, 2018	VSH	Sale	$71,219	−0.8%	−9.9%	−17.6%
August 28, 2018	August 24, 2018	VPG	Sale	$949,554	−17.1%	−30.4%	−34.9%
February 24, 2017	February 22, 2017	VSH	Sale	$165,500	−0.1%	−1.5%	−5.7%
March 15, 2016	March 14, 2016	VSH	Sale	$60,851	+3.3%	+13.4%	+12.0%
February 26, 2015	February 25, 2015	VSH	Sale	$72,050	−8.9%	−8.9%	−12.1%
August 28, 2014	August 26, 2014	VPG	Sale	$265,894	+5.6%	−27.3%	−33.4%
February 22, 2011	February 17, 2011	VSH	Sale	$857,679	−11.6%	−32.7%	−32.3%
February 14, 2011	February 10, 2011	VSH	Sale	$1,328,480	−7.6%	−31.9%	−28.8%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Shoshani Ziv traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.