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Dawson William J: insider trades

Director at Mcgrath Rentcorp. No open-market purchases and 11 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from November 23, 2010 to October 30, 2024.

What happened after Dawson William J’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −7.7% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 82% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 11 −2.6% +1.6% 36% 10 −1.08 0.31 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 11 −7.7% −6.8% 82% 10 −1.70 0.12 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 11 −7.0% −6.8% 82% 10 −1.47 0.18 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Mcgrath Rentcorp MGRC —011November 23, 2010October 30, 2024

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
October 30, 2024October 29, 2024 MGRC Sale $2,299,996 +1.9%−23.9%−24.7%
May 7, 2018May 3, 2018 MGRC Sale $294,164 −14.3%−6.0%−6.8%
November 27, 2017November 27, 2017 MGRC Sale $191,320 +1.8%+6.2%+6.8%
June 15, 2016June 13, 2016 MGRC Sale $151,350 +2.4%−2.8%−3.0%
August 12, 2015August 10, 2015 MGRC Sale $74,730 +11.1%+19.8%+22.3%
November 17, 2014November 13, 2014 MGRC Sale $85,234 −15.7%−23.1%−25.3%
September 13, 2013September 12, 2013 MGRC Sale $48,874 +4.5%−16.2%−14.2%
May 17, 2013May 16, 2013 MGRC Sale $505,695 +1.4%−12.1%−8.1%
March 7, 2012March 2, 2012 MGRC Sale $502,886 −11.3%−14.4%−15.5%
May 23, 2011May 19, 2011 MGRC Sale $109,800 +1.6%−6.8%−3.9%
November 23, 2010November 22, 2010 MGRC Sale $226,720 −12.1%−5.8%−4.6%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Dawson William J traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.