undamentalytics Newsletter

Puchner Alex: insider trades

Officer at Bjs Restaurants Inc. No open-market purchases and 28 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from March 3, 2010 to September 9, 2025.

What happened after Puchner Alex’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +0.4% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 57% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Puchner Alex: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 28 −0.4% −1.9% 57% 13 −0.37 0.72 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 28 +0.4% −9.8% 57% 13 −0.48 0.64 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 28 +0.5% −6.5% 57% 13 −0.57 0.58 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Bjs Restaurants Inc BJRI Sr. Vice President Brewing Ops028March 3, 2010September 9, 2025

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
September 9, 2025September 8, 2025 BJRI Sale $62,023 +17.5%+76.0%+62.4%
March 7, 2024March 7, 2024 BJRI Sale $295,029 −12.4%−19.1%−20.4%
December 11, 2023December 8, 2023 BJRI Sale $21,418 −0.6%−18.7%−20.7%
February 23, 2021February 22, 2021 BJRI Sale $469,799 −9.4%−54.3%−49.4%
August 7, 2018August 6, 2018 BJRI Sale $244,695 +6.4%−44.3%−44.5%
June 1, 2018May 30, 2018 BJRI Sale $277,500 +27.8%−29.5%−27.9%
March 6, 2018March 5, 2018 BJRI Sale $162,091 +32.6%+8.9%+0.6%
May 31, 2017May 31, 2017 BJRI Sale $179,000 −32.6%+11.8%+11.7%
May 25, 2017May 25, 2017 BJRI Sale $323,943 −32.7%+5.4%+1.1%
May 24, 2017May 24, 2017 BJRI Sale $17,091 −33.3%+1.1%+1.3%
March 8, 2017March 8, 2017 BJRI Sale $191,500 +12.1%−2.5%−5.0%
August 12, 2016August 11, 2016 BJRI Sale $419,718 −2.4%−33.6%−33.0%
September 1, 2015August 28, 2015 BJRI Sale $1,449,318 −4.3%−24.1%−21.4%
March 17, 2015March 17, 2015 BJRI Sale $268,950 −11.4%−17.5%−18.9%
November 26, 2014November 26, 2014 BJRI Sale $246,050 +4.1%−9.6%−9.6%
November 5, 2014November 5, 2014 BJRI Sale $225,000 −6.7%−10.0%−8.1%
August 7, 2014August 7, 2014 BJRI Sale $177,500 +26.5%+24.1%+28.7%
November 25, 2013November 25, 2013 BJRI Sale $148,550 −9.8%+49.8%+48.3%
August 28, 2013August 28, 2013 BJRI Sale $165,000 −19.1%−10.2%−11.2%
August 29, 2012August 29, 2012 BJRI Sale $100,750 −17.2%−45.4%−43.3%
March 15, 2012March 15, 2012 BJRI Sale $993,800 −14.5%−47.6%−50.2%
October 26, 2011October 26, 2011 BJRI Sale $196,286 −11.2%−51.9%−43.1%
April 29, 2011April 27, 2011 BJRI Sale $231,850 +4.3%−13.7%−1.2%
March 11, 2011March 11, 2011 BJRI Sale $190,000 +19.8%+19.1%+22.5%
November 3, 2010November 3, 2010 BJRI Sale $165,000 −1.4%+48.8%+51.6%
August 27, 2010August 27, 2010 BJRI Sale $125,000 +38.4%+62.0%+59.2%
May 28, 2010May 28, 2010 BJRI Sale $115,850 +6.0%+91.5%+92.0%
March 3, 2010March 3, 2010 BJRI Sale $111,050 +12.8%+45.6%+41.8%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Puchner Alex traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.