undamentalytics Newsletter

Rentler Barbara: insider trades

Chief executive, Officer at Ross Stores. No open-market purchases and 37 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from March 29, 2010 to August 31, 2023.

What happened after Rentler Barbara’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +12.2% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 32% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Rentler Barbara: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 37 +2.0% +3.7% 32% 11 1.30 0.22 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 37 +12.2% +12.7% 32% 11 1.53 0.16 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 37 +12.2% +10.4% 32% 11 1.52 0.16 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Ross Stores ROST CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER037March 29, 2010August 31, 2023

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
August 31, 2023August 29, 2023 ROST Sale $1,212,030 +6.5%+1.8%+0.7%
August 29, 2023August 25, 2023 ROST Sale $5,172,345 +5.3%−1.6%+0.8%
June 1, 2023May 30, 2023 ROST Sale $1,216,740 +12.7%+12.7%+10.8%
May 30, 2023May 25, 2023 ROST Sale $3,071,700 +9.4%+8.3%+6.4%
October 2, 2019September 30, 2019 ROST Sale $2,750,250 −2.0%−26.7%−30.9%
September 6, 2019September 5, 2019 ROST Sale $2,676,500 −0.6%−27.0%−31.9%
June 18, 2019June 14, 2019 ROST Sale $1,005,100 +2.2%−18.5%−17.2%
June 13, 2019June 12, 2019 ROST Sale $3,966,537 +3.7%−17.2%−9.6%
October 16, 2018October 12, 2018 ROST Sale $1,903,000 +0.6%+10.6%+7.5%
June 12, 2018June 8, 2018 ROST Sale $2,136,250 +10.7%+14.4%+10.4%
April 13, 2018April 12, 2018 ROST Sale $1,173,750 +5.1%+18.1%+14.7%
April 9, 2018April 5, 2018 ROST Sale $2,579,158 +4.6%+16.4%+13.9%
September 13, 2017September 12, 2017 ROST Sale $945,012 +20.1%+42.8%+44.1%
March 24, 2017March 22, 2017 ROST Sale $3,336,794 −17.7%+5.3%−0.4%
September 26, 2016September 22, 2016 ROST Sale $818,678 −1.1%−16.7%−21.1%
September 21, 2016September 19, 2016 ROST Sale $1,250,800 +1.9%−21.1%−20.8%
April 4, 2016March 31, 2016 ROST Sale $2,331,714 −5.0%−6.8%−1.3%
October 9, 2015October 7, 2015 ROST Sale $2,054,474 +11.3%+19.1%+24.4%
April 13, 2015April 9, 2015 ROST Sale $2,604,038 +0.2%+9.4%+10.1%
April 1, 2015March 30, 2015 ROST Sale $3,180,300 −5.8%+11.9%+10.4%
April 3, 2014April 3, 2014 ROST Sale $537,311 −14.2%+30.1%+30.7%
March 25, 2014March 21, 2014 ROST Sale $1,041,185 −12.8%+34.0%+32.3%
March 21, 2014March 20, 2014 ROST Sale $1,016,400 −13.1%+32.1%+34.4%
March 21, 2014March 19, 2014 ROST Sale $1,607,578 −13.1%+32.1%+34.0%
September 13, 2013September 13, 2013 ROST Sale $853,702 −3.7%−12.4%−11.8%
September 4, 2013September 3, 2013 ROST Sale $1,714,000 −4.3%−11.9%−11.2%
March 28, 2013March 27, 2013 ROST Sale $1,300,235 +5.3%−1.4%−0.4%
April 19, 2012April 18, 2012 ROST Sale $1,200,000 +13.1%−10.0%−9.8%
September 19, 2011September 16, 2011 ROST Sale $817,976 +13.6%+39.5%+45.9%
April 18, 2011April 15, 2011 ROST Sale $1,919,840 +8.2%+64.6%+62.0%
October 22, 2010October 22, 2010 ROST Sale $114,242 +4.0%+44.2%+46.2%
October 22, 2010October 20, 2010 ROST Sale $515,160 +4.0%+44.2%+46.1%
September 23, 2010September 22, 2010 ROST Sale $810,000 +2.6%+41.6%+42.1%
September 22, 2010September 21, 2010 ROST Sale $810,150 +1.3%+39.5%+44.7%
April 15, 2010April 13, 2010 ROST Sale $538,687 +4.5%+14.5%+14.8%
April 14, 2010April 12, 2010 ROST Sale $233,800 +6.2%+17.2%+14.4%
March 29, 2010March 26, 2010 ROST Sale $265,500 +11.3%+18.7%+17.7%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Rentler Barbara traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.