undamentalytics Newsletter

Sills Peter J: insider trades

Director, Other at Standard Motor Products, Inc. No open-market purchases and 28 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from March 10, 2010 to June 9, 2021.

What happened after Sills Peter J’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +0.3% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 54% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Sills Peter J: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 28 −2.7% −7.3% 71% 11 −2.16 0.056 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 28 +0.3% −4.9% 54% 11 −0.25 0.81 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 28 −1.6% −7.1% 54% 11 −0.60 0.56 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Standard Motor Products, Inc. SMP —028March 10, 2010June 9, 2021

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
June 9, 2021June 7, 2021 SMP Sale $1,417,500 −16.6%−4.9%−8.8%
August 11, 2020August 10, 2020 SMP Sale $234,050 −1.8%−39.0%−38.3%
August 6, 2020August 5, 2020 SMP Sale $233,750 −0.9%−39.4%−43.2%
September 12, 2019September 11, 2019 SMP Sale $500,200 +1.3%−15.4%−19.3%
June 13, 2017June 9, 2017 SMP Sale $67,590 −11.0%−21.3%−20.4%
June 6, 2017June 2, 2017 SMP Sale $274,045 −9.2%−18.5%−21.2%
May 16, 2017May 12, 2017 SMP Sale $10,006 −14.3%−27.3%−28.2%
November 28, 2016November 23, 2016 SMP Sale $765,174 −11.6%−28.2%−33.5%
December 14, 2015December 9, 2015 SMP Sale $1,164,119 −16.3%+27.0%+25.3%
December 16, 2014December 12, 2014 SMP Sale $216,360 +9.3%+9.8%+5.3%
May 14, 2014May 13, 2014 SMP Sale $210,650 −13.0%−26.5%−27.3%
May 9, 2014May 7, 2014 SMP Sale $586,500 −14.8%−27.7%−19.0%
March 5, 2014March 3, 2014 SMP Sale $174,300 +22.4%+6.3%+7.3%
May 22, 2013May 21, 2013 SMP Sale $334,900 −6.1%+13.9%+8.4%
May 8, 2013May 7, 2013 SMP Sale $467,750 −6.0%+11.3%+10.0%
March 8, 2013March 8, 2013 SMP Sale $278,000 +20.4%+2.6%+1.6%
December 13, 2012December 11, 2012 SMP Sale $202,800 +26.8%+47.0%+42.9%
March 15, 2012March 13, 2012 SMP Sale $100,350 −29.7%+36.5%+24.6%
November 15, 2011November 11, 2011 SMP Sale $95,493 +19.6%−16.9%−14.8%
November 9, 2011November 7, 2011 SMP Sale $273,550 +14.7%−13.3%−5.3%
June 2, 2011May 31, 2011 SMP Sale $74,050 −1.4%−7.0%−10.8%
May 19, 2011May 17, 2011 SMP Sale $79,650 −9.2%−4.9%−9.8%
May 11, 2011May 9, 2011 SMP Sale $283,300 −8.5%−11.7%−10.9%
December 7, 2010December 6, 2010 SMP Sale $65,700 −15.7%+51.0%+46.7%
November 18, 2010November 16, 2010 SMP Sale $131,500 −15.0%+44.6%+40.6%
September 15, 2010September 14, 2010 SMP Sale $19,060 +31.1%+44.9%+39.9%
March 12, 2010March 10, 2010 SMP Sale $406,501 −3.6%+10.5%+6.3%
March 10, 2010March 9, 2010 SMP Sale $102,100 −15.8%+4.0%+8.3%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Sills Peter J traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.