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Nostra Katz Jeanette: insider trades

Officer, Director at G III Apparel Group LTD. No open-market purchases and 15 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from April 16, 2010 to October 8, 2015.

What happened after Nostra Katz Jeanette’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +16.2% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 33% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 15 +2.5% +2.6% 40% 5 0.42 0.70 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 15 +16.2% +26.5% 33% 5 1.12 0.33 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 15 +16.3% +25.6% 33% 5 1.09 0.34 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
G III Apparel Group LTD GIII President015April 16, 2010October 8, 2015

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
October 8, 2015October 6, 2015 GIII Sale $59,885 −28.8%−63.9%−65.1%
July 2, 2015June 30, 2015 GIII Sale $90,515 −7.4%−40.6%−38.7%
April 17, 2015April 16, 2015 GIII Sale $295,300 +19.4%−21.5%−22.9%
January 15, 2015January 13, 2015 GIII Sale $595,911 +19.4%−8.2%−6.2%
October 9, 2014October 7, 2014 GIII Sale $37,605 +14.1%+48.0%+50.5%
July 2, 2014July 1, 2014 GIII Sale $52,107 +0.4%+64.8%+67.7%
January 16, 2014January 15, 2014 GIII Sale $897,875 −0.3%+19.4%+21.1%
January 6, 2014January 2, 2014 GIII Sale $547,800 +2.6%+29.5%+25.6%
July 3, 2013July 2, 2013 GIII Sale $30,982 +12.5%+47.0%+46.0%
June 13, 2013June 11, 2013 GIII Sale $634,832 +3.9%+43.8%+45.4%
April 17, 2013April 16, 2013 GIII Sale $69,022 +22.5%+71.0%+67.9%
September 27, 2012September 25, 2012 GIII Sale $1,157,764 −8.1%+30.3%+32.4%
March 22, 2012March 20, 2012 GIII Sale $22,934 −7.6%+26.5%+33.5%
September 21, 2010September 17, 2010 GIII Sale $314,688 +9.4%−27.9%−33.3%
April 16, 2010April 16, 2010 GIII Sale $50,606 −14.8%+24.9%+20.8%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Nostra Katz Jeanette traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.