undamentalytics Newsletter

Sumas William: insider trades

Officer at Village Super Market Inc. No open-market purchases and 19 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from June 28, 2011 to April 18, 2023.

What happened after Sumas William’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −2.6% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 47% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Sumas William: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 19 −2.7% −0.6% 58% 7 −1.18 0.28 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 19 −2.6% +2.6% 47% 7 −0.74 0.48 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 19 −4.2% −3.4% 58% 7 −1.10 0.31 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Village Super Market Inc VLGEA EVP / Chairman of the Board019June 28, 2011April 18, 2023

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
April 18, 2023April 14, 2023 VLGEA Sale $38,323 +0.3%+10.3%+7.2%
April 12, 2023April 10, 2023 VLGEA Sale $48,679 −2.8%+6.7%+5.0%
April 4, 2023April 3, 2023 VLGEA Sale $160,856 −4.8%+2.7%+3.0%
June 30, 2021June 29, 2021 VLGEA Sale $42,995 −8.0%+10.5%+10.9%
January 22, 2021January 22, 2021 VLGEA Sale $67,760 +5.4%−8.9%−10.8%
January 22, 2021January 21, 2021 VLGEA Sale $57,538 +5.4%−8.9%−15.4%
January 21, 2021January 20, 2021 VLGEA Sale $72,531 +5.6%−10.8%−16.3%
October 26, 2020October 13, 2020 VLGEA Sale $114,504 −19.1%−37.1%−32.9%
July 3, 2019June 12, 2019 VLGEA Sale $1,788,896 +3.5%+3.0%−3.4%
June 28, 2017June 28, 2017 VLGEA Sale $122,200 −9.0%+2.6%+4.3%
June 16, 2017June 14, 2017 VLGEA Sale $150,598 −9.2%+6.1%−1.3%
May 1, 2017April 28, 2017 VLGEA Sale $39,983 −7.3%−3.5%−5.9%
April 25, 2017April 25, 2017 VLGEA Sale $78,441 −12.0%−9.1%−5.2%
April 1, 2015April 1, 2015 VLGEA Sale $95,760 +0.7%−23.9%−23.9%
March 31, 2015March 30, 2015 VLGEA Sale $262,426 +0.9%−23.9%−19.5%
March 30, 2015March 26, 2015 VLGEA Sale $145,957 +1.4%−21.9%−22.3%
July 8, 2011July 6, 2011 VLGEA Sale $228,816 −1.6%+22.9%+21.0%
July 1, 2011June 29, 2011 VLGEA Sale $216,664 −0.6%+19.9%+14.0%
June 28, 2011June 24, 2011 VLGEA Sale $22,680 −0.3%+14.0%+11.9%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Sumas William traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.