undamentalytics Newsletter

Begley Kevin: insider trades

Chief financial officer, Director at Village Super Market Inc. No open-market purchases and 10 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from June 25, 2012 to April 28, 2025.

What happened after Begley Kevin’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −25.9% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 100% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Begley Kevin: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 10 −2.7% −1.7% 50% 5 −0.05 0.96 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 10 −25.9% −17.5% 100% 5 −2.69 0.054 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 10 −25.9% −18.3% 100% 5 −2.61 0.059 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Village Super Market Inc VLGEA CFO010June 25, 2012April 28, 2025

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
April 28, 2025April 24, 2025 VLGEA Sale $176,790 −19.3%−8.8%−10.6%
April 11, 2025April 9, 2025 VLGEA Sale $112,200 −11.0%−12.4%−3.4%
October 25, 2024October 23, 2024 VLGEA Sale $278,615 +11.2%−10.0%−11.8%
October 18, 2024October 16, 2024 VLGEA Sale $156,872 +7.5%−2.3%−6.5%
December 28, 2020December 16, 2020 VLGEA Sale $219,730 +1.6%−21.2%−24.7%
October 16, 2013October 14, 2013 VLGEA Sale $120,862 −19.2%−35.6%−36.7%
July 25, 2013July 25, 2013 VLGEA Sale $144,520 −4.9%−51.1%−52.9%
July 18, 2013July 18, 2013 VLGEA Sale $144,520 −7.0%−52.6%−50.9%
June 19, 2013June 17, 2013 VLGEA Sale $72,500 +4.7%−51.5%−50.8%
June 25, 2012June 22, 2012 VLGEA Sale $310,500 +9.7%−13.7%−11.1%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Begley Kevin traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.