undamentalytics Newsletter

Wynnefield Partners Small Cap Value LP I: insider trades

10% owner at 5 companies we cover. 11 open-market purchases and 7 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from November 29, 2012 to December 8, 2023.

Would copying Wynnefield Partners Small Cap Value LP I’s purchases have beaten the S&P 500?

Too few purchases to judge. Only 11 purchases have 12 months of prices after the report; we judge insiders once they have 20. The figures below can swing a long way on a handful of trades. Buying each purchase the day after it was reported, an equal amount each, and holding it 12 months or until they reported a sale would have turned $10,000 on May 7, 2014 into $21,349 by November 2, 2026, +6.3% a year. The copy held shares only 49% of the time, so the fair comparison is the S&P 500 on those same days with Treasury bills otherwise: $27,214, +8.4% a year (the S&P 500 held throughout made $49,602, +13.7% a year). Beta against the index was 0.38. Twelve months after each report, the average purchase was −3.2% against the S&P 500 (median −14.3%), and 18% beat it. Measured from the trade date, the insider’s own timing, the average was −0.1%. After their sales, the shares moved −11.0% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 80% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

$0$20.0k$40.0k 2014201620182020202220242026 $49.6k$27.2k$21.3k
Copying Wynnefield Partners Small Cap Value LP IS&P 500, same days investedS&P 500, held throughout $10,000 copying Wynnefield Partners Small Cap Value LP I’s open-market purchases from May 7, 2014, before costs and taxes, marked weekly. Each purchase gets the same starting stake, bought at the close of the first trading day after the report and sold 12 months later or the day after a reported sale of that stock; uninvested money earns the Treasury bill rate. “Same days invested” holds the S&P 500 only on the days the copy held shares, Treasury bills otherwise.
Return a year, copying
+6.3%
S&P 500, same days invested
+8.4% (held throughout +13.7%)
Time in shares
49%
Sharpe ratio (S&P 500)
0.28 (0.71)
Biggest drop (S&P 500)
−52% (−34%)
Market sensitivity (beta)
0.38
Purchases copied
11

Trade by trade

Wynnefield Partners Small Cap Value LP I: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 11 +4.7% +2.0% 73% 6 1.50 0.19 No reliable evidence
Purchases, 6 months after the report 11 −0.4% −1.3% 46% 6 0.56 0.60 No reliable evidence
Purchases, 12 months after the report 11 −3.2% −14.3% 18% 6 −0.37 0.73 No reliable evidence
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 10 −0.1% −6.6% 20% 6 0.21 0.84 No reliable evidence
Sales, 3 months after the report 5 −14.1% −15.2% 80% 4 −1.75 0.18 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 5 −11.0% −19.0% 80% 4 −0.58 0.60 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 5 −15.9% −26.5% 80% 4 −0.91 0.43 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Natures Sunshine Products Inc NATR —50May 6, 2014May 18, 2020
DLH Holdings Corp. DLHC —14September 5, 2017March 16, 2023
Quest Resource Holding Corp QRHC —41March 29, 2021December 8, 2023
Crown Crafts Inc CRWS —02November 29, 2012January 11, 2013
Lifecore Biomedical, Inc. DE LFCR —10January 14, 2022January 14, 2022

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
December 8, 2023December 6, 2023 QRHC Purchase $14,233 +3.4%−19.4%−31.6%
September 1, 2023August 30, 2023 QRHC Purchase $38,885 −8.7%−8.6%−3.3%
March 16, 2023March 14, 2023 DLHC Sale $2,810,000 −15.2%−5.3%−11.6%
January 14, 2022January 12, 2022 LFCR Purchase $4,033,582 −2.4%−22.0%−18.5%
December 9, 2021December 7, 2021 QRHC Purchase $550,000 +12.9%+19.0%+34.2%
June 1, 2021May 27, 2021 QRHC Purchase $33,437 +22.3%−14.4%not yet
March 29, 2021March 25, 2021 QRHC Sale $212,500 not yetnot yetnot yet
August 12, 2020August 10, 2020 DLHC Purchase $130,950 +0.1%−14.4%−6.6%
May 18, 2020May 14, 2020 NATR Purchase $89,059 +10.2%+92.1%+93.0%
March 7, 2019March 5, 2019 DLHC Sale $157,500 −27.7%−19.0%−26.5%
February 27, 2019February 25, 2019 DLHC Sale $163,800 −25.2%−30.3%−38.4%
September 5, 2017August 31, 2017 DLHC Sale $1,672,350 −5.8%−28.9%−27.8%
July 29, 2015July 27, 2015 NATR Purchase $226,039 −1.7%−7.4%−6.6%
May 14, 2015May 12, 2015 NATR Purchase $192,428 +2.0%−24.7%−30.4%
May 12, 2015May 8, 2015 NATR Purchase $226,247 +0.9%−31.5%−25.1%
May 6, 2014May 2, 2014 NATR Purchase $185,553 +12.9%−4.5%−6.3%
January 11, 2013January 9, 2013 CRWS Sale $250,000 not yetnot yetnot yet
November 29, 2012November 27, 2012 CRWS Sale $221,029 +3.1%+28.4%+24.7%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Wynnefield Partners Small Cap Value LP I traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.