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Kirk Spencer: insider trades

Director at Extra Space Storage. No open-market purchases and 11 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from February 27, 2019 to August 18, 2021.

What happened after Kirk Spencer’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +10.8% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 36% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 11 +1.3% +8.6% 36% 3 — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the report 11 +10.8% +18.8% 36% 3 — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the trade 11 +12.6% +16.8% 36% 3 — — Not enough years

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Extra Space Storage EXR —011February 27, 2019August 18, 2021

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
August 18, 2021August 16, 2021 EXR Sale $42,799,196 +8.0%+26.2%+27.5%
August 4, 2021August 3, 2021 EXR Sale $42,843,960 +8.6%+20.6%+18.1%
August 3, 2021July 30, 2021 EXR Sale $31,654,085 +10.2%+18.8%+16.8%
May 10, 2021May 6, 2021 EXR Sale $12,410,000 +13.2%+26.4%+33.8%
November 20, 2020November 19, 2020 EXR Sale $2,850,975 +10.4%+53.2%+51.9%
September 3, 2020September 2, 2020 EXR Sale $9,179,150 −2.0%+47.9%+53.5%
March 10, 2020March 4, 2020 EXR Sale $5,503,000 −19.6%−17.8%−7.5%
August 23, 2019August 22, 2019 EXR Sale $30,522,359 −20.9%−31.4%−28.5%
August 21, 2019August 20, 2019 EXR Sale $30,103,673 −18.0%−28.5%−31.0%
March 1, 2019February 28, 2019 EXR Sale $4,316,400 +13.4%+4.0%−0.2%
February 27, 2019February 25, 2019 EXR Sale $4,190,400 +10.5%−0.2%+4.4%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Kirk Spencer traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.