undamentalytics Newsletter

Minick Russell S: insider trades

Officer at Generac. No open-market purchases and 15 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from August 26, 2013 to March 4, 2022.

What happened after Minick Russell S’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +14.4% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 60% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Minick Russell S: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 15 −0.4% −7.5% 60% 10 0.26 0.80 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 15 +14.4% −6.6% 60% 10 0.68 0.52 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 15 +13.8% −6.7% 67% 10 0.64 0.54 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Generac GNRC Chief Marketing Officer015August 26, 2013March 4, 2022

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
March 4, 2022March 4, 2022 GNRC Sale $3,621,862 −7.5%−57.8%−55.4%
February 19, 2021February 18, 2021 GNRC Sale $2,248,634 −15.9%−26.1%−25.8%
May 6, 2020May 5, 2020 GNRC Sale $3,258,932 +57.6%+180.9%+173.6%
August 19, 2019August 16, 2019 GNRC Sale $763,342 +19.1%+125.9%+127.7%
March 18, 2019March 14, 2019 GNRC Sale $1,643,040 +20.9%+82.2%+90.8%
August 16, 2018August 14, 2018 GNRC Sale $493,740 +6.6%+31.5%+28.8%
June 18, 2018June 14, 2018 GNRC Sale $755,592 +6.3%+20.8%+17.6%
November 7, 2017November 3, 2017 GNRC Sale $1,226,575 −7.2%+0.8%−2.8%
December 9, 2016December 6, 2016 GNRC Sale $351,090 −15.3%−4.3%−6.7%
December 7, 2016December 5, 2016 GNRC Sale $1,785,075 −15.1%−6.6%−4.9%
February 18, 2015February 17, 2015 GNRC Sale $633,316 −13.7%−24.5%−28.5%
May 7, 2014May 7, 2014 GNRC Sale $104,886 −14.7%−34.7%−38.1%
March 3, 2014February 28, 2014 GNRC Sale $62,901 −20.6%−30.2%−27.7%
February 26, 2014February 26, 2014 GNRC Sale $99,438 −20.6%−30.3%−30.0%
August 26, 2013August 26, 2013 GNRC Sale $159,079 +13.8%−10.9%−10.7%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Minick Russell S traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.