undamentalytics Newsletter

Clark Maxine: insider trades

Chief executive, Officer, Director at Build-a-bear Workshop Inc. 1 open-market purchase and 13 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from July 6, 2010 to June 11, 2021.

Would copying Clark Maxine’s purchases have beaten the S&P 500?

Too few purchases to judge. None of their purchases has 12 months of prices after the report; we judge insiders once they have 20. The figures below can swing a long way on a handful of trades. After their sales, the shares moved −7.7% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 62% trailed it. None of their purchases could be priced, so there is no copy portfolio.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Clark Maxine: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 13 +4.1% −1.1% 54% 5 −0.66 0.55 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 13 −7.7% −24.0% 62% 5 −0.45 0.67 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 13 −7.3% −20.1% 62% 5 −0.37 0.73 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Build-a-bear Workshop Inc BBW Founder113July 6, 2010June 11, 2021

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
June 11, 2021June 9, 2021 BBW Sale $462,862 −10.6%+10.9%+21.3%
November 20, 2013November 18, 2013 BBW Sale $761,314 −22.9%+67.8%+81.5%
September 6, 2013September 4, 2013 BBW Sale $606,372 +13.2%+64.8%+66.3%
August 16, 2013August 15, 2013 BBW Sale $315,000 +32.0%+46.0%+34.3%
November 1, 2012October 31, 2012 BBW Purchase $17,750 not yetnot yetnot yet
January 5, 2012January 3, 2012 BBW Sale $535,675 −44.2%−63.6%−67.6%
October 24, 2011October 21, 2011 BBW Sale $83,250 +36.4%−42.1%−42.2%
October 20, 2011October 18, 2011 BBW Sale $82,878 +37.8%−42.2%−45.4%
October 14, 2011October 12, 2011 BBW Sale $194,124 +41.3%−43.5%−49.3%
July 1, 2011July 1, 2011 BBW Sale $410,800 −5.6%−27.5%−30.6%
April 4, 2011April 1, 2011 BBW Sale $399,750 −1.0%−24.0%−20.1%
January 5, 2011January 3, 2011 BBW Sale $483,095 −21.8%+3.1%+8.4%
October 5, 2010October 1, 2010 BBW Sale $377,466 +13.0%−23.2%−14.2%
July 6, 2010July 1, 2010 BBW Sale $436,150 −14.8%−26.9%−37.2%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Clark Maxine traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.