undamentalytics Newsletter

Williams Duston: insider trades

Chief financial officer at Nutanix, Inc. No open-market purchases and 19 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from June 13, 2017 to March 17, 2022.

What happened after Williams Duston’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +1.2% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 63% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Williams Duston: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 19 −1.3% −7.1% 63% 6 −0.04 0.97 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 19 +1.2% −11.7% 63% 6 0.26 0.80 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 19 +2.2% −20.7% 63% 6 0.38 0.72 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Nutanix, Inc. NTNX Chief Financial Officer019June 13, 2017March 17, 2022

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
March 17, 2022March 16, 2022 NTNX Sale $275,705 −27.5%+6.8%+15.6%
January 3, 2022December 30, 2021 NTNX Sale $486,450 −7.1%−0.3%−0.6%
December 29, 2021December 27, 2021 NTNX Sale $978,150 −11.8%−0.6%−4.5%
December 20, 2021December 16, 2021 NTNX Sale $675,874 −13.9%+5.0%+18.4%
October 12, 2021October 7, 2021 NTNX Sale $1,617,002 −21.8%−25.4%−23.9%
September 17, 2021September 16, 2021 NTNX Sale $807,085 −30.8%−34.8%−32.8%
July 13, 2021July 12, 2021 NTNX Sale $1,863,500 0.0%−47.4%−48.5%
June 21, 2021June 16, 2021 NTNX Sale $562,752 0.0%−52.7%−53.0%
March 18, 2021March 16, 2021 NTNX Sale $375,470 +33.9%−15.5%−25.5%
December 18, 2020December 16, 2020 NTNX Sale $992,419 −22.9%−29.6%−29.3%
September 18, 2020September 16, 2020 NTNX Sale $592,515 +42.2%+50.5%+42.6%
June 18, 2020June 16, 2020 NTNX Sale $514,512 −12.6%+18.2%+23.9%
March 18, 2020March 16, 2020 NTNX Sale $245,353 +32.7%+21.0%+50.2%
December 18, 2019December 16, 2019 NTNX Sale $800,404 −20.4%−11.7%−20.7%
December 9, 2019December 6, 2019 NTNX Sale $3,502,900 −39.1%−29.1%−36.9%
September 18, 2019September 16, 2019 NTNX Sale $523,783 +14.4%−29.1%−26.5%
June 4, 2018May 31, 2018 NTNX Sale $16,238,292 −6.9%−56.6%−52.6%
December 18, 2017December 14, 2017 NTNX Sale $10,609,500 +47.6%+12.4%+11.9%
June 13, 2017June 12, 2017 NTNX Sale $1,382,604 +20.3%+242.5%+234.2%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Williams Duston traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.