undamentalytics Newsletter

Dolby Ray: insider trades

Director, 10% owner at Dolby Laboratories, Inc. No open-market purchases and 155 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from June 1, 2010 to June 11, 2013.

What happened after Dolby Ray’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −28.5% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 99% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Dolby Ray: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 155 −12.8% −16.1% 88% 4 −3.15 0.051 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 155 −28.5% −14.7% 99% 4 −1.64 0.20 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 155 −28.4% −14.6% 99% 4 −1.64 0.20 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Dolby Laboratories, Inc. DLB —0155June 1, 2010June 11, 2013

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
June 11, 2013June 7, 2013 DLB Sale $1,336,367 −10.1%+2.8%−1.6%
June 4, 2013June 3, 2013 DLB Sale $122,710 −11.6%−3.0%−1.3%
June 3, 2013May 30, 2013 DLB Sale $1,409,400 −10.4%−1.9%−0.9%
May 31, 2013May 29, 2013 DLB Sale $712,000 −9.6%−1.3%−2.3%
May 30, 2013May 28, 2013 DLB Sale $700,000 −9.9%−3.6%−2.2%
December 19, 2012December 18, 2012 DLB Sale $706,800 −4.0%−8.7%−8.4%
December 18, 2012December 17, 2012 DLB Sale $705,200 −4.9%−9.3%−7.6%
December 14, 2012December 13, 2012 DLB Sale $45,526 −4.5%−7.6%−4.1%
December 13, 2012December 12, 2012 DLB Sale $667,764 +0.9%−2.0%−6.2%
November 7, 2012November 6, 2012 DLB Sale $223,644 −6.5%−14.2%−12.9%
November 7, 2012November 5, 2012 DLB Sale $395,500 −6.5%−14.2%−13.2%
September 26, 2012September 25, 2012 DLB Sale $160,055 −2.1%−4.4%−6.3%
September 25, 2012September 24, 2012 DLB Sale $635,635 −1.1%−3.9%−6.5%
September 21, 2012September 20, 2012 DLB Sale $91,052 −3.6%−6.5%−5.5%
September 20, 2012September 19, 2012 DLB Sale $105,330 −0.6%−4.1%−7.9%
September 20, 2012September 18, 2012 DLB Sale $946,490 −0.6%−4.1%−8.5%
September 18, 2012September 17, 2012 DLB Sale $452,538 +2.5%−7.9%−7.8%
September 17, 2012September 14, 2012 DLB Sale $1,061,900 +1.6%−8.5%−10.2%
September 14, 2012September 13, 2012 DLB Sale $1,047,600 +2.0%−7.8%−8.3%
September 13, 2012September 12, 2012 DLB Sale $425,506 +1.6%−10.2%−12.6%
September 12, 2012September 11, 2012 DLB Sale $1,057,400 −2.5%−8.3%−14.1%
September 11, 2012September 10, 2012 DLB Sale $622,414 −2.0%−12.6%−16.4%
September 10, 2012September 7, 2012 DLB Sale $589,169 −0.9%−14.1%−14.4%
September 7, 2012September 6, 2012 DLB Sale $341,100 −2.6%−16.4%−14.8%
September 6, 2012September 5, 2012 DLB Sale $335,800 +0.2%−14.4%−13.6%
September 5, 2012September 4, 2012 DLB Sale $335,100 −1.3%−14.8%−14.6%
September 4, 2012August 31, 2012 DLB Sale $331,500 −0.5%−13.6%−12.6%
September 4, 2012August 30, 2012 DLB Sale $330,900 −0.5%−13.6%−12.9%
August 30, 2012August 29, 2012 DLB Sale $338,100 −1.5%−12.6%−13.7%
August 29, 2012August 28, 2012 DLB Sale $342,100 −2.8%−12.9%−14.5%
August 28, 2012August 27, 2012 DLB Sale $340,700 −2.1%−13.7%−13.1%
August 27, 2012August 24, 2012 DLB Sale $339,500 −4.2%−14.5%−13.2%
August 24, 2012August 23, 2012 DLB Sale $336,625 −3.8%−13.1%−12.5%
August 23, 2012August 22, 2012 DLB Sale $360,624 −5.2%−13.2%−13.4%
August 22, 2012August 21, 2012 DLB Sale $758,931 −5.1%−12.5%−15.9%
August 21, 2012August 20, 2012 DLB Sale $1,056,000 −5.9%−13.4%−16.6%
August 20, 2012August 17, 2012 DLB Sale $1,053,600 −6.6%−15.9%−14.7%
August 17, 2012August 16, 2012 DLB Sale $1,053,180 −8.3%−16.6%−15.3%
August 16, 2012August 15, 2012 DLB Sale $345,800 −8.0%−14.7%−13.4%
August 15, 2012August 14, 2012 DLB Sale $344,100 −7.2%−15.3%−13.6%
August 14, 2012August 13, 2012 DLB Sale $342,259 −4.5%−13.4%−12.5%
August 13, 2012August 10, 2012 DLB Sale $344,100 −7.8%−13.6%−15.8%
August 10, 2012August 9, 2012 DLB Sale $342,400 −7.5%−12.5%−15.1%
August 9, 2012August 8, 2012 DLB Sale $336,700 −6.6%−15.8%−12.7%
August 8, 2012August 7, 2012 DLB Sale $397,340 −3.6%−15.1%−14.8%
July 27, 2011July 26, 2011 DLB Sale $910,985 −27.5%−27.0%−24.8%
July 26, 2011July 25, 2011 DLB Sale $888,200 −27.5%−25.8%−23.3%
July 25, 2011July 22, 2011 DLB Sale $877,800 −27.8%−24.8%−24.2%
July 25, 2011July 21, 2011 DLB Sale $878,800 −27.8%−24.8%−23.6%
July 21, 2011July 20, 2011 DLB Sale $864,708 −27.8%−24.2%−25.1%
July 21, 2011July 19, 2011 DLB Sale $849,502 −27.8%−24.2%−23.9%
July 20, 2011July 18, 2011 DLB Sale $832,600 −26.0%−23.6%−21.3%
July 18, 2011July 15, 2011 DLB Sale $836,800 −25.8%−23.9%−14.9%
July 15, 2011July 14, 2011 DLB Sale $831,200 −24.0%−21.3%−14.2%
July 14, 2011July 13, 2011 DLB Sale $833,200 −22.6%−14.9%−12.0%
July 13, 2011July 12, 2011 DLB Sale $823,200 −21.5%−14.2%−11.3%
July 12, 2011July 11, 2011 DLB Sale $820,000 −20.4%−12.0%−9.7%
July 11, 2011July 8, 2011 DLB Sale $821,800 −20.2%−11.3%−6.8%
July 7, 2011July 7, 2011 DLB Sale $822,417 −17.0%−6.8%−3.9%
July 7, 2011July 6, 2011 DLB Sale $821,336 −17.0%−6.8%+0.1%
July 6, 2011July 5, 2011 DLB Sale $839,602 −18.1%−3.9%−3.0%
July 5, 2011July 1, 2011 DLB Sale $860,000 −16.7%+0.1%−7.6%
July 1, 2011June 30, 2011 DLB Sale $848,000 −19.8%−3.0%−8.1%
June 30, 2011June 29, 2011 DLB Sale $840,400 −21.3%−7.6%−6.9%
June 29, 2011June 28, 2011 DLB Sale $839,000 −21.1%−8.1%−5.6%
June 28, 2011June 27, 2011 DLB Sale $838,800 −20.0%−6.9%−6.1%
June 27, 2011June 24, 2011 DLB Sale $836,682 −20.5%−5.6%−7.0%
June 24, 2011June 23, 2011 DLB Sale $849,400 −22.3%−6.1%−8.2%
June 23, 2011June 22, 2011 DLB Sale $849,600 −23.5%−7.0%−6.8%
June 22, 2011June 21, 2011 DLB Sale $853,800 −23.6%−8.2%−7.3%
June 21, 2011June 20, 2011 DLB Sale $852,800 −23.3%−6.8%−8.3%
June 20, 2011June 17, 2011 DLB Sale $855,961 −22.3%−7.3%−8.5%
June 17, 2011June 16, 2011 DLB Sale $867,200 −23.2%−8.3%−10.1%
June 16, 2011June 15, 2011 DLB Sale $874,400 −21.9%−8.5%−10.7%
June 15, 2011June 14, 2011 DLB Sale $886,200 −21.8%−10.1%−10.8%
June 14, 2011June 13, 2011 DLB Sale $880,600 −21.3%−10.7%−11.5%
June 13, 2011June 10, 2011 DLB Sale $883,400 −19.7%−10.8%−12.0%
June 10, 2011June 9, 2011 DLB Sale $887,200 −20.8%−11.5%−10.7%
June 9, 2011June 8, 2011 DLB Sale $889,000 −20.0%−12.0%−10.1%
June 8, 2011June 7, 2011 DLB Sale $890,400 −18.6%−10.7%−9.0%
June 7, 2011June 6, 2011 DLB Sale $889,055 −18.5%−10.1%−8.7%
June 6, 2011June 3, 2011 DLB Sale $909,600 −19.1%−9.0%−10.8%
June 3, 2011June 2, 2011 DLB Sale $911,215 −19.2%−8.7%−8.8%
June 2, 2011June 1, 2011 DLB Sale $913,553 −20.6%−10.8%−7.1%
June 1, 2011May 31, 2011 DLB Sale $932,800 −19.8%−8.8%−6.4%
May 31, 2011May 27, 2011 DLB Sale $934,200 −18.8%−7.1%−8.1%
May 27, 2011May 26, 2011 DLB Sale $925,000 −18.0%−6.4%−6.6%
May 26, 2011May 25, 2011 DLB Sale $932,000 −17.1%−8.1%−7.0%
May 25, 2011May 24, 2011 DLB Sale $947,400 −17.9%−6.6%−9.8%
May 24, 2011May 23, 2011 DLB Sale $947,000 −18.8%−7.0%−9.5%
May 23, 2011May 20, 2011 DLB Sale $978,000 −20.5%−9.8%−9.7%
May 20, 2011May 19, 2011 DLB Sale $983,400 −18.3%−9.5%−8.8%
May 19, 2011May 18, 2011 DLB Sale $985,005 −19.6%−9.7%−9.5%
May 18, 2011May 17, 2011 DLB Sale $961,000 −19.7%−8.8%−8.8%
May 17, 2011May 16, 2011 DLB Sale $957,662 −21.1%−9.5%−7.9%
August 23, 2010August 20, 2010 DLB Sale $571,100 +7.3%−52.4%−51.4%
August 20, 2010August 19, 2010 DLB Sale $576,182 +6.1%−48.4%−51.6%
August 19, 2010August 18, 2010 DLB Sale $582,100 +0.4%−51.4%−53.2%
August 18, 2010August 17, 2010 DLB Sale $581,572 +1.7%−51.6%−54.4%
August 17, 2010August 16, 2010 DLB Sale $564,500 +1.8%−53.2%−54.9%
August 16, 2010August 13, 2010 DLB Sale $573,583 +0.7%−54.4%−53.2%
August 13, 2010August 12, 2010 DLB Sale $587,651 +5.2%−54.9%−55.0%
August 12, 2010August 11, 2010 DLB Sale $581,583 +4.1%−53.2%−50.8%
August 11, 2010August 10, 2010 DLB Sale $610,331 +0.4%−55.0%−54.0%
August 10, 2010August 9, 2010 DLB Sale $631,400 +2.5%−50.8%−54.7%
August 9, 2010August 6, 2010 DLB Sale $1,237,319 +4.4%−54.0%−59.8%
August 6, 2010August 5, 2010 DLB Sale $1,263,097 +1.5%−54.7%−49.1%
August 5, 2010August 4, 2010 DLB Sale $1,264,712 −4.6%−59.8%−49.8%
August 4, 2010August 3, 2010 DLB Sale $1,260,200 −3.7%−49.1%−49.7%
August 3, 2010August 2, 2010 DLB Sale $1,257,778 −6.0%−49.8%−50.0%
August 2, 2010July 30, 2010 DLB Sale $1,265,157 −6.3%−49.7%−52.9%
July 30, 2010July 29, 2010 DLB Sale $1,325,320 −7.1%−50.0%−54.9%
July 29, 2010July 28, 2010 DLB Sale $1,334,746 −11.4%−52.9%−55.2%
July 28, 2010July 27, 2010 DLB Sale $1,374,774 −14.0%−54.9%−55.4%
July 27, 2010July 26, 2010 DLB Sale $1,380,556 −14.6%−55.2%−58.2%
July 26, 2010July 23, 2010 DLB Sale $1,353,837 −13.9%−55.4%−58.7%
July 23, 2010July 22, 2010 DLB Sale $1,354,679 −16.2%−58.2%−59.7%
July 22, 2010July 21, 2010 DLB Sale $1,338,958 −17.8%−58.7%−60.8%
July 21, 2010July 20, 2010 DLB Sale $1,332,159 −18.5%−59.7%−61.6%
July 20, 2010July 19, 2010 DLB Sale $1,326,166 −19.2%−60.8%−62.0%
July 20, 2010July 16, 2010 DLB Sale $1,312,359 −19.2%−60.8%−61.2%
July 16, 2010July 15, 2010 DLB Sale $1,361,238 −18.8%−62.0%−60.4%
July 15, 2010July 14, 2010 DLB Sale $1,351,746 −17.5%−61.2%−61.6%
July 14, 2010July 13, 2010 DLB Sale $1,339,946 −19.1%−60.4%−60.5%
July 13, 2010July 12, 2010 DLB Sale $1,283,400 −20.7%−61.6%−61.3%
July 12, 2010July 9, 2010 DLB Sale $1,287,700 −20.7%−60.5%−62.9%
July 9, 2010July 8, 2010 DLB Sale $1,294,100 −19.1%−61.3%−64.7%
July 8, 2010July 7, 2010 DLB Sale $1,266,194 −18.4%−62.9%−65.8%
July 7, 2010July 6, 2010 DLB Sale $1,270,649 −19.4%−64.7%−65.5%
July 6, 2010July 2, 2010 DLB Sale $1,243,242 −16.6%−65.8%−64.7%
July 2, 2010July 1, 2010 DLB Sale $1,227,495 −18.6%−65.5%−62.7%
July 1, 2010June 30, 2010 DLB Sale $1,272,943 −20.8%−64.7%−62.3%
June 30, 2010June 29, 2010 DLB Sale $1,286,012 −20.3%−62.7%−60.9%
June 29, 2010June 28, 2010 DLB Sale $1,330,700 −17.6%−62.3%−58.3%
June 28, 2010June 25, 2010 DLB Sale $1,324,028 −15.6%−60.9%−56.9%
June 28, 2010June 24, 2010 DLB Sale $1,314,277 −15.6%−60.9%−57.0%
June 24, 2010June 23, 2010 DLB Sale $1,321,882 −14.1%−56.9%−56.0%
June 23, 2010June 22, 2010 DLB Sale $1,325,940 −13.7%−57.0%−55.6%
June 22, 2010June 21, 2010 DLB Sale $1,351,043 −13.4%−56.0%−53.0%
June 21, 2010June 18, 2010 DLB Sale $1,352,033 −13.0%−55.6%−52.5%
June 18, 2010June 17, 2010 DLB Sale $1,362,240 −12.9%−53.0%−52.6%
June 17, 2010June 16, 2010 DLB Sale $1,380,550 −18.0%−52.5%−51.9%
June 16, 2010June 15, 2010 DLB Sale $1,354,820 −19.6%−52.6%−54.1%
June 15, 2010June 14, 2010 DLB Sale $1,339,696 −21.5%−51.9%−52.8%
June 14, 2010June 11, 2010 DLB Sale $1,325,043 −21.4%−54.1%−52.3%
June 11, 2010June 10, 2010 DLB Sale $1,300,500 −20.5%−52.8%−54.3%
June 10, 2010June 9, 2010 DLB Sale $1,291,978 −20.9%−52.3%−54.6%
June 9, 2010June 8, 2010 DLB Sale $1,280,220 −20.2%−54.3%−53.2%
June 8, 2010June 7, 2010 DLB Sale $1,307,969 −17.4%−54.6%−56.5%
June 7, 2010June 4, 2010 DLB Sale $1,350,300 −14.8%−53.2%−55.6%
June 4, 2010June 3, 2010 DLB Sale $1,355,200 −17.4%−56.5%−54.8%
June 3, 2010June 2, 2010 DLB Sale $1,308,515 −16.1%−55.6%−53.4%
June 2, 2010June 1, 2010 DLB Sale $1,308,200 −15.7%−54.8%−56.0%
June 2, 2010May 28, 2010 DLB Sale $1,322,400 −15.7%−54.8%−53.7%
June 1, 2010May 27, 2010 DLB Sale $1,241,601 −12.1%−53.4%−53.0%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Dolby Ray traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.