undamentalytics Newsletter

Balog Robert J: insider trades

Officer at KVH Industries Inc \de\. No open-market purchases and 23 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from November 12, 2010 to August 5, 2022.

What happened after Balog Robert J’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −12.6% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 74% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Balog Robert J: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 23 −2.8% −9.2% 57% 9 −0.59 0.57 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 23 −12.6% −15.0% 74% 9 −1.33 0.22 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 23 −12.6% −17.0% 74% 9 −1.18 0.27 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
KVH Industries Inc \de\ KVHI CTO023November 12, 2010August 5, 2022

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
August 5, 2022August 4, 2022 KVHI Sale $15,006 +43.8%−37.0%−3.2%
June 10, 2022June 8, 2022 KVHI Sale $21,376 +13.7%−0.9%+8.3%
April 6, 2022April 4, 2022 KVHI Sale $12,668 +6.0%+40.8%+31.0%
August 5, 2021August 4, 2021 KVHI Sale $20,014 −9.5%−19.3%−18.8%
June 10, 2021June 8, 2021 KVHI Sale $41,094 −32.5%−33.3%−39.1%
March 22, 2021March 18, 2021 KVHI Sale $20,502 −11.3%−42.3%−43.9%
June 11, 2020June 9, 2020 KVHI Sale $21,655 −14.0%+12.3%+10.8%
April 16, 2020April 15, 2020 KVHI Sale $13,230 −14.0%+12.1%−1.7%
February 20, 2020February 19, 2020 KVHI Sale $25,072 −10.0%+9.9%+14.2%
March 20, 2019March 19, 2019 KVHI Sale $14,552 −9.1%−0.1%−20.0%
March 12, 2019March 11, 2019 KVHI Sale $15,924 −13.5%−15.0%−19.4%
February 21, 2019February 20, 2019 KVHI Sale $27,382 −16.3%−21.5%−25.7%
April 17, 2018April 16, 2018 KVHI Sale $14,306 +11.3%−16.8%−19.1%
March 19, 2018March 15, 2018 KVHI Sale $16,250 +2.0%−9.9%−4.0%
March 15, 2018March 13, 2018 KVHI Sale $12,089 +1.2%−5.5%−2.1%
February 26, 2018February 22, 2018 KVHI Sale $24,839 +9.3%+6.3%+6.2%
November 30, 2016November 28, 2016 KVHI Sale $137,156 −29.6%−26.6%−16.8%
November 20, 2013November 18, 2013 KVHI Sale $20,264 −10.8%−30.0%−24.8%
May 22, 2013May 20, 2013 KVHI Sale $14,194 +1.4%−14.3%−17.0%
December 9, 2011December 9, 2011 KVHI Sale $11,510 +21.1%+34.7%+35.5%
December 20, 2010December 17, 2010 KVHI Sale $33,400 +15.0%−36.2%−42.4%
November 16, 2010November 15, 2010 KVHI Sale $30,786 −3.6%−45.9%−50.4%
November 12, 2010November 10, 2010 KVHI Sale $39,304 −14.2%−50.4%−46.2%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Balog Robert J traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.