undamentalytics Newsletter

Baldocchi Albert S: insider trades

Director at Chipotle Mexican Grill. No open-market purchases and 19 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from February 18, 2010 to April 29, 2024.

What happened after Baldocchi Albert S’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +31.9% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 37% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Baldocchi Albert S: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 19 +6.5% +8.1% 37% 10 0.56 0.59 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 19 +31.9% +28.0% 37% 10 1.37 0.20 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 19 +33.8% +28.3% 37% 10 1.41 0.19 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Chipotle Mexican Grill CMG —019February 18, 2010April 29, 2024

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
April 29, 2024April 26, 2024 CMG Sale $3,166,004 −24.1%−32.7%−31.2%
February 15, 2024February 14, 2024 CMG Sale $2,608,515 +17.3%−21.7%−20.2%
May 3, 2023May 2, 2023 CMG Sale $4,075,377 −17.7%+28.0%+28.3%
July 23, 2021July 22, 2021 CMG Sale $4,911,841 −3.9%−17.0%−17.1%
June 5, 2020June 3, 2020 CMG Sale $1,120,264 +18.7%−5.4%−9.3%
July 29, 2019July 25, 2019 CMG Sale $902,100 −4.1%+32.9%+36.3%
February 11, 2014February 10, 2014 CMG Sale $275,000 −11.9%+5.8%+4.2%
February 7, 2014February 6, 2014 CMG Sale $4,021,382 −12.8%+4.2%+3.1%
February 13, 2013February 12, 2013 CMG Sale $1,600,919 +8.1%+51.1%+47.0%
November 28, 2012November 28, 2012 CMG Sale $1,300,000 +12.2%+66.2%+66.2%
February 6, 2012February 3, 2012 CMG Sale $3,695,035 +6.1%−29.4%−28.2%
July 28, 2011July 26, 2011 CMG Sale $897,078 +5.9%−19.8%−13.1%
July 26, 2011July 22, 2011 CMG Sale $836,412 +8.8%−16.7%−11.3%
October 27, 2010October 25, 2010 CMG Sale $8,236,184 −4.2%+52.5%+58.7%
April 30, 2010April 29, 2010 CMG Sale $525,000 +14.2%+76.8%+76.1%
April 28, 2010April 26, 2010 CMG Sale $881,206 +13.3%+76.1%+79.7%
February 26, 2010February 24, 2010 CMG Sale $735,230 +33.7%+105.7%+112.4%
February 22, 2010February 19, 2010 CMG Sale $210,000 +34.2%+120.6%+129.8%
February 18, 2010February 17, 2010 CMG Sale $104,380 +30.3%+129.8%+131.2%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Baldocchi Albert S traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.