undamentalytics Newsletter

Marriott David S and related entities: insider trades

Director, Other at 2 companies we cover. No open-market purchases and 26 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from March 21, 2012 to September 29, 2026. Trades reported separately by several related funds or companies are counted once, under this name.

What happened after Marriott David S and related entities’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +12.5% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 33% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Marriott David S and related entities: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 25 −0.3% −1.2% 60% 14 −1.43 0.18 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 24 +12.5% +5.9% 33% 13 0.87 0.40 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 24 +11.9% +4.8% 42% 13 0.83 0.42 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Marriott International MAR —024March 21, 2012September 29, 2026
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp VAC —02March 27, 2012June 14, 2013

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
September 29, 2026September 25, 2026 MAR Sale $1,232,315 not yetnot yetnot yet
February 18, 2026February 17, 2026 MAR Sale $1,708,920 −2.7%not yetnot yet
February 29, 2024February 28, 2024 MAR Sale $716,449 −10.4%−5.6%−4.1%
August 10, 2023August 8, 2023 MAR Sale $7,119,000 −4.2%−18.5%−14.3%
February 18, 2022February 17, 2022 MAR Sale $655,834 −1.3%+5.4%+3.6%
February 26, 2021February 24, 2021 MAR Sale $2,373,901 −11.5%+1.0%−2.5%
May 20, 2020May 19, 2020 MAR Sale $2,075,480 −12.3%+9.2%+10.8%
December 9, 2019December 6, 2019 MAR Sale $2,537,993 −12.6%−26.1%−25.7%
June 14, 2018June 12, 2018 MAR Sale $449,129 −10.7%−8.5%−9.0%
June 8, 2018June 7, 2018 MAR Sale $1,253,891 −11.8%−8.8%−9.7%
August 17, 2017August 15, 2017 MAR Sale $844,265 +20.2%+8.4%+4.9%
August 15, 2017August 11, 2017 MAR Sale $2,995,200 +18.2%+6.0%+4.8%
May 16, 2017May 12, 2017 MAR Sale $2,013,535 −7.0%+19.4%+21.2%
December 15, 2016December 13, 2016 MAR Sale $401,464 −0.4%+35.4%+34.6%
December 13, 2016December 12, 2016 MAR Sale $1,407,838 −0.4%+34.1%+35.1%
December 9, 2016December 8, 2016 MAR Sale $2,140,566 −1.2%+35.1%+36.5%
March 2, 2015March 2, 2015 MAR Sale $2,029,920 −6.8%−13.0%−13.0%
October 1, 2014September 29, 2014 MAR Sale $10,008,200 +10.4%+5.9%−3.2%
February 27, 2014February 26, 2014 MAR Sale $1,601,700 +10.1%+42.2%+40.9%
September 17, 2013September 16, 2013 MAR Sale $1,606,694 +3.5%+48.6%+47.1%
September 16, 2013September 12, 2013 MAR Sale $77,744 +3.7%+48.0%+47.8%
September 12, 2013September 11, 2013 MAR Sale $473,440 +2.1%+47.3%+47.8%
June 14, 2013June 13, 2013 VAC Sale $260,340 −6.0%+5.6%+5.1%
March 27, 2012March 23, 2012 VAC Sale $546,800 +9.2%+34.9%+40.7%
March 22, 2012March 21, 2012 MAR Sale $380,700 +7.1%−2.5%−6.5%
March 21, 2012March 19, 2012 MAR Sale $953,750 +7.2%−3.7%−6.5%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Marriott David S and related entities traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.