undamentalytics Newsletter

Lahanas Nicholas: insider trades

Chief financial officer at Central Garden & PET Co. No open-market purchases and 6 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from December 13, 2017 to May 17, 2024.

What happened after Lahanas Nicholas’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −28.1% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 100% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Lahanas Nicholas: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 6 −5.5% −2.3% 50% 4 −0.28 0.80 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 6 −28.1% −29.3% 100% 4 −5.47 0.012 Some evidence: seller right
Sales, 12 months after the trade 6 −28.4% −28.6% 100% 4 −5.75 0.011 Some evidence: seller right

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Central Garden & PET Co CENT Chief Financial Officer06December 13, 2017May 17, 2024

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
May 17, 2024May 15, 2024 CENT Sale $400,000 −22.2%−33.9%−36.7%
May 14, 2024May 13, 2024 CENT Sale $1,199,400 −21.7%−36.7%−38.2%
February 13, 2024February 12, 2024 CENT Sale $493,122 +3.5%−35.4%−33.0%
May 17, 2022May 13, 2022 CENT Sale $305,245 −8.1%−24.6%−22.7%
February 28, 2018February 26, 2018 CENT Sale $69,075 +5.7%−24.3%−24.1%
December 13, 2017December 11, 2017 CENT Sale $276,050 +9.7%−13.5%−15.4%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Lahanas Nicholas traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.