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Schmidt Joseph H: insider trades

Officer at Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. No open-market purchases and 10 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from November 22, 2010 to March 24, 2014.

What happened after Schmidt Joseph H’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −10.2% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 70% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 10 −3.7% +1.7% 40% 5 −0.40 0.71 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 10 −10.2% −11.5% 70% 5 −0.86 0.44 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 10 −10.6% −13.3% 70% 5 −0.79 0.47 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. DKS President and COO010November 22, 2010March 24, 2014

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
March 24, 2014March 21, 2014 DKS Sale $1,926,127 −25.2%−7.0%−10.0%
March 21, 2014March 19, 2014 DKS Sale $1,285,521 −25.2%−8.2%−12.1%
September 25, 2013September 24, 2013 DKS Sale $3,614,600 +1.6%−32.9%−35.3%
September 24, 2013September 20, 2013 DKS Sale $363,664 +1.7%−34.1%−33.8%
September 10, 2012September 6, 2012 DKS Sale $3,618,100 −8.3%−21.0%−21.3%
June 21, 2012June 20, 2012 DKS Sale $3,326,400 +2.6%−14.7%−14.4%
March 28, 2012March 26, 2012 DKS Sale $860,854 +3.2%−15.8%−16.9%
December 6, 2011December 2, 2011 DKS Sale $798,000 +11.6%+11.7%+15.4%
December 6, 2010December 3, 2010 DKS Sale $715,000 +5.1%+7.5%+7.1%
November 22, 2010November 18, 2010 DKS Sale $670,000 −4.2%+12.5%+15.4%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Schmidt Joseph H traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.