undamentalytics Newsletter

Moore Edward W.: insider trades

Officer at RPM International Inc. No open-market purchases and 18 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from October 12, 2011 to August 4, 2023.

What happened after Moore Edward W.’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +2.6% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 28% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Moore Edward W.: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 18 +1.6% +1.6% 44% 12 1.09 0.30 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 18 +2.6% +7.9% 28% 12 0.47 0.65 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 18 +2.5% +9.0% 28% 12 0.45 0.66 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
RPM International Inc RPM SVP, GC & CCO018October 12, 2011August 4, 2023

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
August 4, 2023August 3, 2023 RPM Sale $408,577 −3.2%−5.9%−3.5%
April 11, 2023April 10, 2023 RPM Sale $534,122 +1.8%+7.2%+9.9%
July 28, 2022July 28, 2022 RPM Sale $184,956 +10.6%+6.6%+3.6%
January 14, 2022January 13, 2022 RPM Sale $511,479 −1.3%+7.3%+9.0%
January 11, 2021January 8, 2021 RPM Sale $763,737 −6.6%−19.2%−17.5%
July 31, 2020July 30, 2020 RPM Sale $536,786 +3.6%−28.8%−29.4%
October 8, 2019October 7, 2019 RPM Sale $419,516 −2.0%+12.0%+10.0%
July 24, 2018July 23, 2018 RPM Sale $258,041 −1.3%+0.6%+1.2%
January 10, 2018January 9, 2018 RPM Sale $138,671 −4.0%+8.7%+9.2%
July 31, 2017July 28, 2017 RPM Sale $549,959 −1.6%+9.9%+9.0%
August 3, 2016August 1, 2016 RPM Sale $1,215,349 −10.4%−19.7%−17.6%
January 12, 2016January 8, 2016 RPM Sale $755,302 +14.9%+10.7%+9.2%
October 22, 2014October 20, 2014 RPM Sale $382,111 +2.3%−3.8%−4.8%
February 5, 2014February 4, 2014 RPM Sale $121,134 +3.9%+11.6%+10.4%
August 23, 2013August 21, 2013 RPM Sale $138,195 +5.4%+14.1%+14.9%
July 26, 2013July 25, 2013 RPM Sale $246,808 +5.9%+14.6%+9.5%
July 31, 2012July 30, 2012 RPM Sale $140,449 +1.4%+13.3%+14.0%
October 12, 2011October 11, 2011 RPM Sale $70,875 +8.7%+8.5%+8.5%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Moore Edward W. traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.