undamentalytics Newsletter

Pereira Bill: insider trades

Officer, Director at IDT Corp. No open-market purchases and 12 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from April 18, 2013 to January 20, 2026.

What happened after Pereira Bill’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −10.4% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 73% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Pereira Bill: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 12 −2.3% +1.7% 42% 7 0.26 0.80 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 11 −10.4% −8.5% 73% 6 −0.04 0.97 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 11 −11.8% −14.3% 73% 6 −0.15 0.88 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
IDT Corp IDT COO & President012April 18, 2013January 20, 2026

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
January 20, 2026January 15, 2026 IDT Sale $372,876 +0.9%not yetnot yet
October 3, 2025October 2, 2025 IDT Sale $2,081,135 +2.9%+49.1%+44.2%
October 18, 2024October 16, 2024 IDT Sale $1,378,227 −2.0%−8.4%−14.3%
March 19, 2024March 19, 2024 IDT Sale $593,804 −11.3%+25.9%+23.0%
October 22, 2021October 21, 2021 IDT Sale $222,212 −19.3%−31.9%−31.2%
July 12, 2021July 9, 2021 IDT Sale $230,936 +5.3%−37.1%−37.8%
December 19, 2016December 16, 2016 IDT Sale $189,618 −36.4%−61.5%−60.6%
October 19, 2016October 17, 2016 IDT Sale $231,333 +2.5%−39.9%−42.3%
March 31, 2016March 30, 2016 IDT Sale $155,271 +4.1%−17.9%−16.2%
June 16, 2015June 12, 2015 IDT Sale $190,600 −13.9%−8.5%−11.5%
April 17, 2015April 16, 2015 IDT Sale $163,970 +3.3%−2.7%−5.4%
April 18, 2013April 16, 2013 IDT Sale $271,400 +35.9%+18.9%+21.9%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Pereira Bill traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.