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White Teresa L: insider trades

Officer at Aflac. No open-market purchases and 16 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from November 1, 2010 to August 8, 2022.

What happened after White Teresa L’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −3.5% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 69% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 16 +2.2% +2.9% 25% 10 1.02 0.34 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 16 −3.5% −2.8% 69% 10 −0.19 0.85 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 16 −3.4% −6.7% 63% 10 −0.02 0.99 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Aflac AFL President, Aflac U.S.016November 1, 2010August 8, 2022

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
August 8, 2022August 5, 2022 AFL Sale $592,400 +20.2%+18.3%+22.6%
February 11, 2021February 9, 2021 AFL Sale $816,530 +14.7%+29.0%+29.2%
May 7, 2019May 6, 2019 AFL Sale $2,878,478 +3.6%−29.2%−27.2%
February 19, 2019February 13, 2019 AFL Sale $605,302 +2.9%−16.3%−15.6%
June 29, 2017June 27, 2017 AFL Sale $882,605 +0.9%−1.6%+0.5%
September 2, 2016September 1, 2016 AFL Sale $2,654,322 −7.6%−1.5%−1.4%
June 9, 2016June 8, 2016 AFL Sale $626,525 +3.5%−3.0%−7.0%
June 8, 2016June 6, 2016 AFL Sale $11,936 +1.7%−2.6%−7.0%
June 2, 2016May 31, 2016 AFL Sale $199,139 +3.6%−6.2%−6.3%
August 20, 2015August 19, 2015 AFL Sale $157,557 +5.2%+13.0%+9.5%
February 17, 2015February 12, 2015 AFL Sale $930,560 +2.9%+5.0%+4.0%
June 19, 2014June 18, 2014 AFL Sale $1,423,619 −9.8%−8.1%−7.9%
November 25, 2013November 22, 2013 AFL Sale $301,009 −6.6%−25.1%−24.1%
August 5, 2013August 1, 2013 AFL Sale $50,818 +1.4%−17.5%−19.8%
June 28, 2012June 27, 2012 AFL Sale $442,200 +6.9%+15.5%+21.7%
November 1, 2010October 29, 2010 AFL Sale $516,470 −8.0%−26.1%−25.0%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why White Teresa L traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.