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Tucker Thomas E.: insider trades

Director at Primoris Services Corp. No open-market purchases and 12 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from November 14, 2012 to November 12, 2020.

What happened after Tucker Thomas E.’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +6.6% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 42% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 12 +15.5% +23.8% 25% 4 1.29 0.29 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 12 +6.6% +4.8% 42% 4 −0.18 0.87 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 12 +17.1% +6.8% 33% 3 — — Not enough years

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Primoris Services Corp PRIM —012November 14, 2012November 12, 2020

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
November 12, 2020November 10, 2020 PRIM Sale $201,180 +31.4%−20.1%−16.5%
September 30, 2020September 28, 2020 PRIM Sale $186,900 +45.3%+10.9%+2.6%
September 2, 2020August 31, 2020 PRIM Sale $47,500 +24.5%+4.9%+4.9%
August 13, 2020August 11, 2020 PRIM Sale $47,500 +13.8%+4.6%+8.8%
October 1, 2014September 30, 2014 PRIM Sale $54,380 −19.5%−34.7%−31.8%
June 30, 2014June 27, 2014 PRIM Sale $58,120 −7.6%−38.6%−38.1%
March 6, 2014March 4, 2014 PRIM Sale $62,140 −12.2%−60.1%−59.2%
December 9, 2013September 5, 2012 PRIM Sale $148,181 +8.2%−34.1%+76.3%
December 7, 2012December 5, 2012 PRIM Sale $43,950 +29.5%+60.9%+62.1%
November 21, 2012November 19, 2012 PRIM Sale $29,000 +24.1%+62.9%+60.1%
November 16, 2012November 14, 2012 PRIM Sale $71,750 +23.4%+60.1%+63.5%
November 14, 2012November 13, 2012 PRIM Sale $126,630 +25.2%+62.1%+72.1%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Tucker Thomas E. traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.