undamentalytics Newsletter

O'hara J. Brooks: insider trades

Officer at Group 1 Automotive Inc. No open-market purchases and 21 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from July 29, 2010 to September 21, 2015.

What happened after O'hara J. Brooks’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +3.7% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 43% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

O'hara J. Brooks: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 21 +0.6% −2.6% 57% 6 0.05 0.96 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 21 +3.7% +4.4% 43% 6 0.11 0.92 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 21 +4.4% +9.5% 43% 6 0.20 0.85 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Group 1 Automotive Inc GPI VP, Human Resources021July 29, 2010September 21, 2015

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
September 21, 2015September 18, 2015 GPI Sale $222,950 −18.2%−43.6%−42.9%
June 29, 2015June 26, 2015 GPI Sale $184,360 +0.8%−46.8%−42.2%
March 11, 2015March 10, 2015 GPI Sale $151,820 +11.9%−23.3%−20.9%
November 18, 2014November 17, 2014 GPI Sale $103,584 −6.3%−9.0%−9.2%
September 9, 2014September 8, 2014 GPI Sale $270,450 +19.6%+14.5%+15.8%
March 17, 2014March 13, 2014 GPI Sale $181,201 +14.7%+4.4%+8.0%
August 27, 2013August 26, 2013 GPI Sale $240,350 −21.7%−19.2%−17.0%
July 31, 2013July 29, 2013 GPI Sale $172,678 −19.4%−16.0%−14.5%
March 12, 2013March 12, 2013 GPI Sale $220,860 −2.6%−13.7%−12.4%
July 31, 2012July 27, 2012 GPI Sale $106,820 +17.3%+18.3%+12.2%
May 3, 2012May 1, 2012 GPI Sale $117,620 −4.0%−1.3%−5.4%
March 27, 2012March 26, 2012 GPI Sale $85,032 −15.5%−6.9%−7.0%
February 13, 2012February 10, 2012 GPI Sale $199,116 −2.8%+9.1%+9.5%
December 8, 2011December 6, 2011 GPI Sale $179,928 −1.9%+2.8%+10.0%
September 9, 2011September 8, 2011 GPI Sale $106,387 +26.2%+29.9%+31.8%
June 8, 2011June 6, 2011 GPI Sale $53,427 +13.3%+36.1%+33.7%
March 21, 2011March 21, 2011 GPI Sale $39,990 −3.5%+29.2%+28.4%
December 21, 2010December 21, 2010 GPI Sale $96,837 −9.0%+21.5%+22.2%
November 10, 2010November 8, 2010 GPI Sale $92,462 −6.2%+16.6%+16.1%
November 3, 2010November 1, 2010 GPI Sale $29,383 +1.8%+21.1%+24.6%
July 29, 2010July 29, 2010 GPI Sale $78,092 +17.2%+53.6%+51.6%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why O'hara J. Brooks traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.