undamentalytics Newsletter

Tenenbaum Sheldon U.: insider trades

Officer at Reliance, Inc. No open-market purchases and 17 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from April 27, 2010 to March 4, 2016.

What happened after Tenenbaum Sheldon U.’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −0.3% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 53% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Tenenbaum Sheldon U.: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 17 +2.6% +4.5% 35% 7 0.61 0.56 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 17 −0.3% −0.8% 53% 7 0.06 0.95 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 17 +0.2% −4.0% 53% 7 0.13 0.90 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Reliance, Inc. RS Sr. VP, Supplier Development017April 27, 2010March 4, 2016

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
March 4, 2016March 2, 2016 RS Sale $487,500 +11.0%+6.8%+9.1%
February 29, 2016February 26, 2016 RS Sale $303,950 +12.7%+17.8%+20.4%
February 24, 2016February 23, 2016 RS Sale $600,000 +16.1%+18.7%+23.9%
August 12, 2015August 11, 2015 RS Sale $20,608 −1.6%+20.1%+19.3%
August 5, 2015August 4, 2015 RS Sale $20,377 −3.5%+20.1%+24.2%
August 6, 2014August 5, 2014 RS Sale $22,525 −8.3%−18.9%−17.9%
May 28, 2014May 23, 2014 RS Sale $360,000 −7.8%−22.4%−21.3%
August 12, 2013August 9, 2013 RS Sale $23,280 +1.7%−18.1%−16.8%
August 6, 2013August 2, 2013 RS Sale $23,586 +4.5%−13.5%−17.1%
April 30, 2013April 29, 2013 RS Sale $514,000 +4.2%−6.8%−7.9%
August 10, 2012August 9, 2012 RS Sale $17,159 +7.0%+13.6%+13.0%
August 6, 2012August 2, 2012 RS Sale $16,767 +5.2%+11.7%+15.0%
August 8, 2011August 5, 2011 RS Sale $15,802 +6.3%+12.4%+6.5%
March 31, 2011March 30, 2011 RS Sale $58,270 −15.2%−10.2%−10.3%
September 30, 2010September 29, 2010 RS Sale $233,867 +11.1%−19.3%−16.7%
September 28, 2010September 27, 2010 RS Sale $234,264 +14.3%−16.7%−16.6%
April 27, 2010April 26, 2010 RS Sale $523,500 −13.5%−0.8%−4.0%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Tenenbaum Sheldon U. traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.