undamentalytics Newsletter

Deweese Steven E: insider trades

Officer at Republic Bancorp Inc. No open-market purchases and 31 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from November 17, 2010 to September 16, 2024.

What happened after Deweese Steven E’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −0.4% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 58% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Deweese Steven E: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 31 −0.3% +2.2% 45% 11 −0.82 0.43 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 31 −0.4% −2.3% 58% 11 0.61 0.56 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 31 −2.2% −2.0% 61% 11 0.12 0.91 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Republic Bancorp Inc RBCAA EVP, MG DIR COMM & PRIV BANK031November 17, 2010September 16, 2024

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
September 16, 2024September 12, 2024 RBCAA Sale $15,625 +9.2%−2.3%+2.8%
July 26, 2024July 24, 2024 RBCAA Sale $73,590 −2.5%−8.4%−3.9%
November 6, 2023November 2, 2023 RBCAA Sale $21,063 −8.0%+26.8%+13.1%
November 8, 2021November 5, 2021 RBCAA Sale $17,100 −12.2%−0.8%−1.7%
September 2, 2021August 31, 2021 RBCAA Sale $30,006 +2.3%−4.6%−1.7%
May 28, 2021May 27, 2021 RBCAA Sale $40,176 −1.2%+0.7%+0.6%
February 24, 2021February 22, 2021 RBCAA Sale $10,650 −1.9%−4.8%−0.3%
November 27, 2020November 24, 2020 RBCAA Sale $15,100 +18.1%+21.5%+17.1%
November 18, 2020November 16, 2020 RBCAA Sale $18,725 +8.8%+20.2%+19.5%
November 12, 2020November 9, 2020 RBCAA Sale $18,000 +2.2%+24.8%+30.2%
November 5, 2020November 3, 2020 RBCAA Sale $10,335 +21.0%+46.5%+23.7%
December 3, 2019November 29, 2019 RBCAA Sale $12,742 −15.2%−34.6%−38.4%
October 24, 2019October 22, 2019 RBCAA Sale $13,500 −7.7%−34.2%−39.6%
February 27, 2019February 26, 2019 RBCAA Sale $12,575 +2.4%−27.5%−25.0%
February 19, 2019February 15, 2019 RBCAA Sale $13,440 +6.9%−26.3%−27.5%
February 13, 2019February 11, 2019 RBCAA Sale $12,750 +7.1%−27.5%−24.1%
February 1, 2019January 30, 2019 RBCAA Sale $13,488 +11.1%−20.4%−16.1%
December 3, 2018November 30, 2018 RBCAA Sale $12,978 +1.9%−5.2%−9.4%
November 29, 2018November 27, 2018 RBCAA Sale $12,858 −1.1%−9.4%−11.4%
April 25, 2018April 24, 2018 RBCAA Sale $62,356 +5.8%−1.3%−2.0%
October 26, 2017October 25, 2017 RBCAA Sale $287,000 −14.6%+5.4%−2.5%
September 1, 2017August 31, 2017 RBCAA Sale $39,566 +13.1%+27.4%+20.3%
August 22, 2017August 21, 2017 RBCAA Sale $34,500 +11.5%+30.1%+30.8%
November 22, 2016November 18, 2016 RBCAA Sale $179,784 −12.2%−11.2%−7.1%
May 17, 2016May 16, 2016 RBCAA Sale $24,318 +6.0%+11.3%+15.6%
November 20, 2015November 19, 2015 RBCAA Sale $132,254 +3.2%+33.8%+34.6%
June 19, 2015June 18, 2015 RBCAA Sale $108,516 +5.1%+11.7%+10.5%
August 30, 2012August 29, 2012 RBCAA Sale $103,355 −10.5%+1.1%−3.8%
February 27, 2012February 23, 2012 RBCAA Sale $67,075 −16.0%−27.6%−33.3%
February 8, 2012February 6, 2012 RBCAA Sale $29,441 −9.9%−23.5%−26.4%
November 17, 2010November 15, 2010 RBCAA Sale $116,756 −31.1%−2.9%−13.2%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Deweese Steven E traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.