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Sepulveda Eli: insider trades

Officer at Popular, Inc. No open-market purchases and 14 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from September 3, 2014 to January 31, 2025.

What happened after Sepulveda Eli’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −6.0% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 57% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 14 +0.7% −0.2% 50% 10 0.53 0.61 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 14 −6.0% −7.3% 57% 10 −0.18 0.86 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 14 −6.4% −8.6% 71% 10 −0.22 0.83 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Popular, Inc. BPOP Executive Vice President014September 3, 2014January 31, 2025

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
January 31, 2025January 30, 2025 BPOP Sale $1,050,700 +5.8%+29.3%+19.4%
November 29, 2023November 28, 2023 BPOP Sale $717,000 −0.8%+3.5%+8.9%
August 18, 2022August 17, 2022 BPOP Sale $405,450 −9.2%−25.3%−19.0%
August 9, 2022August 5, 2022 BPOP Sale $380,500 −2.3%−15.4%−12.5%
February 23, 2021February 22, 2021 BPOP Sale $455,700 +8.5%+22.4%+28.5%
November 12, 2019November 11, 2019 BPOP Sale $278,800 −8.3%−24.4%−21.7%
February 1, 2019January 30, 2019 BPOP Sale $278,000 −0.7%−17.7%−19.3%
July 27, 2018July 25, 2018 BPOP Sale $251,500 +7.0%+8.5%+11.4%
May 5, 2017May 3, 2017 BPOP Sale $84,226 −3.3%+2.5%−0.4%
November 21, 2016November 18, 2016 BPOP Sale $104,275 +0.3%−32.5%−36.3%
October 28, 2016October 28, 2016 BPOP Sale $139,081 +14.9%−20.1%−27.8%
May 29, 2015May 29, 2015 BPOP Sale $198,189 −6.9%−3.4%−3.8%
November 12, 2014November 11, 2014 BPOP Sale $95,400 +0.8%−11.1%−11.6%
September 3, 2014August 29, 2014 BPOP Sale $75,034 +3.8%+0.2%−5.6%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Sepulveda Eli traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.