undamentalytics Newsletter

Bost Glenn E II: insider trades

Officer at PPG Industries. No open-market purchases and 11 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from September 10, 2010 to August 14, 2017.

What happened after Bost Glenn E II’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +3.7% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 46% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Bost Glenn E II: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 11 +4.1% +3.7% 36% 8 2.48 0.042 Some evidence: seller wrong
Sales, 12 months after the report 11 +3.7% +0.4% 46% 8 0.58 0.58 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 11 +3.9% +0.6% 36% 8 0.64 0.54 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
PPG Industries PPG Sr. VP & Gen. Counsel011September 10, 2010August 14, 2017

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
August 14, 2017August 11, 2017 PPG Sale $1,997,050 +6.4%−10.8%−10.7%
February 26, 2016February 25, 2016 PPG Sale $3,136,887 +3.7%−17.0%−15.5%
February 24, 2015February 20, 2015 PPG Sale $4,651,488 −3.4%−10.8%−11.2%
November 17, 2014November 14, 2014 PPG Sale $610,202 +10.5%−2.3%−1.4%
February 27, 2014February 26, 2014 PPG Sale $1,717,799 −1.6%+5.7%+7.1%
February 22, 2013February 21, 2013 PPG Sale $902,230 +9.4%+22.0%+23.4%
February 22, 2012February 21, 2012 PPG Sale $637,000 +12.7%+34.6%+33.0%
May 9, 2011May 6, 2011 PPG Sale $1,303,159 −2.0%+16.4%+16.4%
February 22, 2011February 18, 2011 PPG Sale $262,786 −1.2%+2.9%+1.2%
December 29, 2010December 27, 2010 PPG Sale $627,870 +8.3%+0.4%+0.6%
September 10, 2010September 8, 2010 PPG Sale $533,302 +2.7%−0.7%+0.4%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Bost Glenn E II traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.