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Hewitt Dennis E.: insider trades

Officer at Omnicom Group. No open-market purchases and 10 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from May 20, 2015 to October 30, 2018.

What happened after Hewitt Dennis E.’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −5.8% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 70% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 10 +1.5% +2.3% 40% 4 −0.38 0.73 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 10 −5.8% −6.2% 70% 4 −0.84 0.46 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 10 −6.1% −5.7% 70% 4 −0.84 0.46 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Omnicom Group OMC Treasurer010May 20, 2015October 30, 2018

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
October 30, 2018October 26, 2018 OMC Sale $14,006 +4.5%−8.2%−4.2%
October 25, 2018October 23, 2018 OMC Sale $37,924 +8.4%−4.2%−7.9%
August 7, 2018August 3, 2018 OMC Sale $13,466 +15.8%+15.7%+14.7%
August 2, 2018July 31, 2018 OMC Sale $20,684 +14.8%+14.7%+12.2%
February 23, 2018February 21, 2018 OMC Sale $154,760 −5.4%−2.7%−3.9%
July 28, 2017July 26, 2017 OMC Sale $71,196 −17.2%−25.9%−26.5%
February 13, 2017February 9, 2017 OMC Sale $119,197 −6.2%−17.4%−22.0%
October 24, 2016October 20, 2016 OMC Sale $79,570 +1.7%−32.1%−27.6%
February 17, 2016February 12, 2016 OMC Sale $145,280 +3.0%−9.6%−7.2%
May 20, 2015May 18, 2015 OMC Sale $117,225 −4.6%+11.4%+11.5%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Hewitt Dennis E. traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.